crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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No longer waiting for Cookeville. EF4 with winds of 175.
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Regardless of what occurs this weekend (most us getting an inch at MOST) it could be complete curtains for any winterlike weather. Extended range suggests several days of 50+ temps for a large majority of us.
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Regardless of what happens this weekend (still thinking you guys in ENE could be great for a few inches) we might definitely be curtains for this winter after that. Very few days in the extended range show temperatures <=40 for daytime highs
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At least EF3, there are clear DIs of at least EF4 (largely Cookeville) but due to time constraints they're going to likely have to come back to finish the survey tomorrow
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Hearing from other forums that Tennessee EMA Spokesperson now indicating at least 28 deaths, 200+ injured.
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I'd say probably the 16th-17th storm that month was the jumping point for winter going wrong
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Time to say last rites? The extended range threat might be worth something but we all know how that goes.
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I love being near that 9.5 dot near MSV. If we get shafted around here while the urban corridor gets slammed this month I'll never forgive those who live in those zones.
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Thinking ENE lines up in the prime position on this one. For the rest of us we'll need this to come more west.
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Feb 26-29 Synoptic/LES
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No question. Running at roughly 25-30" which is less than 1/2 the normal averages. March could give that big storm but unless Pi Day happens again we will finish well below regardless. -
Feb 26-29 Synoptic/LES
crossbowftw3 replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Checking in from downstate, y'all upstate have fun with this. -
Central PA - February 2020
crossbowftw3 replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I'm in downstate NY and I'm just feeling envy. Again. -
About 35 miles NW from Wurtsboro. 1" and the snow has taken on a showery appearance. Roads just wet. Likely inversion/colder air suppressing the winds.
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At 700' in Narrowsburg, SW Sullivan, just seeing snow showers from this same band
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Postel capitulated that this pattern will likely keep its firm hold through the remaining weeks of winter. Don't wanna buy it but....we are running out of time to use. Not even one good 12" snow will fix this winter's problem but it will give something to remember. Would rather not the 40 hour slop fest from December 1-3 be the one thing this winter is remembered for..
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Got no snow and immediately snapped to ZR. Enough for trees to become coated. Just rose to 33 which in theory should effectively end the frozen threat.
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Images that make grown men shed a tear ft. two runs of the midday euro.
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12z euro made me feel some sense of dismay. Gets me to freezing by 12z and just rains the rest of the way. I'm probably skunked now. GL everyone N/E of me especially the ski resorts.
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Checking in again from SENY, 30 miles north of 84...I am interested in these ticks but here we will probably just be South enough to have the thump to rain.
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January 10-11 Severe Weather Threat
crossbowftw3 replied to DanLarsen34's topic in Central/Western States
At bare minimum the 15/hatched should extend to DFW this next update. -
Massena Airport, upstate New York with 0.92 inches of ice accretion. However I have doubts that this reads as true. The report reads as this: GROUND TRUTH FROM AIRPORT OFFICIAL SUPPORTS NEAR AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION.
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Been stuck between 34-36 for approximately 17 hours now.
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Poking back in from SW Sullivan County NY again, elevation ~750 feet. It's been just straight rain. Indeed, the elevations were the place to be here. They're definitely getting their ice.
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General rule of thumb is to cut these totals by 1/2. 1:1 rule doesn't apply for QPF:ice totals in most cases.
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Ice map?
