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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    All the QPF on the northern 25 miles of Monday's system is prob going to be Virga.
  2. ORH_wxman
    That type of phased PNA/EPO ridge in the second image is a very cold pattern historically. So it wouldn’t surprise me to see a very strong arctic outbreak at some point if that verifies.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Here was last nights EPS…first map is 5 day mean between D5-D10 and the next one is days 11-15
  4. ORH_wxman
    06z eps has a pretty big spread…not a tight cluster
  5. ORH_wxman
    We traded with Seattle for 2-3 weeks. At least the EPS continues to improve. Looks even better than 12z did.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I'd wait until we're inside 10 days. The good news though is that the western ridge starts building pretty quickly by D9
  7. ORH_wxman
    Tip will like the lower heights in the SE later in the period....no Hadley cell geopotential medium compression for you....
  8. ORH_wxman
    Here's 5-day mean D9-13
  9. ORH_wxman
    Well if you think about we kind of traded our climate with them for the past 2-3 weeks.
  10. ORH_wxman
    EPS looks pretty nice in the extended....that's the best it's looked in a while. Trended toward GEFS a bit. @CoastalWxwould definitely like that western ridge anomaly max sitting over Idaho/Montana. PV actually gets shoved into SE Canada. Probably a legit arctic outbreak if that look verified.
  11. ORH_wxman
    EPS takes the system over SE MA...pretty decent spread in solutions so way too early to talk about whether the system is "lost" yet.
  12. ORH_wxman
    GGEM actually scrapes the Cape now....lol
  13. ORH_wxman
    It can be strong...it just depends where the shortwave amplifies. On the Euro, it doesn't amplify until further east...there's a bit more confluence.
  14. ORH_wxman
    Massena NY FTW.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeah EPS is still totally fine but GEFS would be better. EPS actually starts retrograding the western ridge a bit at the end to a nice spot.
  16. ORH_wxman
    Man the GEFS and EPS are pretty different in the N PAC in the 11-15. GEFS has a nuclear EPO ridge…almost 2015-Esque. EPS are really lowering heights in AK though there is still some cross polar flow to the N of AK
  17. ORH_wxman
    Euro still liking 1/7 for something trackable.
  18. ORH_wxman
    This is really surprising.
  19. ORH_wxman
    12/30/00 storm was pretty meh in ORH....we had about 10 inches and then a ridiculous dryslot.
  20. ORH_wxman
    I’m completely ignoring the 1/3 system until non-GFS guidance shows anything.
  21. ORH_wxman
    GFS actually has the 1/7 event now, though it’s a bit too far west for good snows. Still way out there, but EPS/Euro suite has been entertaining that system. So if you want something to latch onto, that system would likely be the best shot.
  22. ORH_wxman
    That stretch actually continued into January...had a reinforcement after the 1/4 blizzard. That was a pretty epic stretch if you look brutal cold sandwiched around a huge snowstorm
  23. ORH_wxman
    We had a hell of cold shot at this time in 2017 too...here's how ORH closed the month:
  24. ORH_wxman
    Not really...we've had plenty of La Nina ratters....the weird part is struggling in a La Nina when there has been a lot of high latitude blocking.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Oh yeah I missed that part. Yeah, 40” in a month is pretty sweet.
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