ORH_wxman

You're not losing it on Sunday....lol. Maybe if you had 3" of feathers you would but you have a half inch of liquid in there. It's not a ton, but it's not getting wiped out by a few hours in the upper 30s or even low 40s if that was the case. But in order for it to survive longer, it will definitely need some additional events on top of it....even in cold weather it's going to sublimate slowly.

No I doubt it....maybe on the Cape it could be where they spend most of the day in the 40s....but for the rest of the region its prob just a few hours in the 35-40 range before FROPA late afternoon/evening....and parts of the deeper interior may never even get above freezing. For example, the Euro actually keeps ORH to BDL in the mid 30s as highs.

EPS was "liking" 1/16...I used the quotes since it's not a super strong signal, but it does have a mean closed low pressure near or just SE of the BM.

I'm expecting this to compact down to about 4" glacier by the time we get FROPA on Sunday night. It'll prob already be down to 6" or so by tomorrow night even before the brief warmup Sunday.

Next "events" for those wondering: Small events: Maybe minor ZR threat Sunday? This shouldn't be a big deal and mostly for the deeper interior, but we've already seen a couple of these throw roads into chaos. Monday has a windex threat...mostly for NNE but even SNE could see something Thursday has had a clipper system showing up on a few runs....looks fairly weak, but sometimes you get a band. Wouldn't expect much right now. Bigger events: Next weekend still has a signal for potentially something bigger...but no guarantees. None of the OP models today were biting on it.

Thanks for the detailed post. I’ve always despised the model snow maps (or clown maps as I call them) and this is another great description of why they stink. They are fun to look at for sure…but they do often cause a lot of confusion and often inflate expectations compared to usual.

Yep. This was a good one for many. Out here we have a steady mood snow now in that lighter band.

Congrats. Mine didn’t work today…lol. The gear shifter is messed up. Prob a rusted gear wheel inside but not 100% sure. Thankfully there’s an older dude around the corner who repairs snow blowers so he’s gonna look at it tomorrow. At least this was a good storm to not have the snow blower. It was rpettt east to shovel this champagne powder. Only annoying part was the denser snow banks at each end of my horseshoe driveway.

Getting some nice little bands rotating in. Not accumulating too much from these but coating up where I shoveled…might pick up another couple tenths

Just over 10” here. Getting a nice band right now though as a little finale

Nice last hurrah of heavy snow for southeast MA right now

Yeah it's fine...but definitely been a bit lucky recently. But there's some sneaky elevation heading back into parts of Milford, Hopkinton and even my part of Holliston where 300-500 foot elevations are commonplace and that also helps a bit. But there will be some storms at some point where Ray's area cleans up. There's a reason his area averages probably mid/high 60s. Even though the Methuen snow weenies can't fathom a jackpot right now, lol.

Nice....your tropical fruit orchards there will be buried.

I've been really fortunate in Holliston since moving here. Managed several jackpots/near jackpots. But knowing the area very well I am aware that the worm can turn easily the other way. My cousins grew up here, so I was here a lot as a kid.

Pretty decent bands in metro-west the last hour....not like the PYM stuff, but still solidly moderate to maybe marginally heavy at times

May have to watch for windex on the arctic front next week...NNE would be favored, but some of the runs have good PVA down in SNE as well.

Here's the zoomed in wunderground radar where you can see the PYM band better

PYM/Carver/Wareham getting croaked right now

Thems the breaks sometimes with mesobanding. They can be awesome and frustrating at the same time.

That map is over an hour and half old....better to just wait for the final one.

Really intense band setting up just west of the Canal now

And he's not done...might get to 10.

Our poster in Carver should be getting it good the next 1-2 hours.

It's probably enhancement from weak inflow at the 850-900 level getting going. It's not anything huge, but even 25 knots of inflow will glide over the top and help this out as it exits.

Some of the far SE MA folks should be able to play a little catchup in the next 1-2 hours