ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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I mean, that’s pretty much exactly what I’m getting?
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I didn’t quite have that much. About 10.5 here. Prob 5-7 miles S in Milford had a foot though. They spent longer in that great band.
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I mean, i prob only had about 0.2 extra of QPF? You prob had around 0.4 and I had maybe 0.6? 0.7 if generous.
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It’s still full coverage here. 3-4” of dense ripe snow in most spots though maybe more like 2” in the most exposed yards on the street. Glad the ice pack is off the driveway though.
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Ensembles have a super strong signal at the end of their run which is like 1/24 or 1/25. Prob no true breakdown until February if that is close to correct. Things can always change though. We’ve seen that enough already this season. But I’m pretty optimistic.
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Can’t believe how strong the anomalies are in the EPO region for that far out. Very strong signal.
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I would never guarantee at 5 days out that you are good. But right now Friday looks fine…but definitely keep checking.
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EPS looks like a super cold pattern for a lot of the CONUS at the end. That’s major arctic express there
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Euro actually had some really light snow with that. Even a stripe of 1” or so along rt 2 and prob a coating for pike region. But it needs some help to be more than a nuisance. Definitely possible though.
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Good signal on EPS but plenty of spread a week out
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No that is the first system that is a longer shot imho. It could produce something but I’d favor the one behind it which would be next weekend.
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Gets shunted way south but that’s a nice look overall. I like the really strong northern stream there.
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Euro is definitely cooking up something big at 156 here.
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Yeah this is a lot of shortwaves in the flow. I feel like the event afterward has more support but can’t ignore the Thursday night/Friday deal just yet.
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My pack is getting pretty ripe/dense. No longer a fake effect fluffer pack. Around 5-6” but it’s gonna be a glacier by tomorrow morning. It’ll make a good bottom base layer on our march to 3+ feet OTG by early February.
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Up to 39 now. Ice almost totally gone from driveway.
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Nice stalled Miller b on GGEM. Lol
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The near-sfc in-situ CAD ZR events don’t accrete on elevated surfaces very well because the drops aren’t supercooled. Literally a few hundred feet up is probably above freezing. Usually when the cold is a bit deeper, the drops become supercooled so they freeze on contact with trees and power lines. In this case, they need some time to glaze, so they drip down and mostly freeze on the ground.
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37 and light rain here. Starting to get some of the ice melted off the driveway.
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Up to 32F here now. Doesn’t look like ZR will be a huge factor thankfully. Driveway is already pretty icy from hard packed snow that turned into a glacier so hoping a few hours of 35-40 can take care of that.
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May he have an entire week’s worth of ARW runs smoking N VT.
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Good animations there. The STJ is an interesting addition recently. It should make things really interesting. Northern stream is still dominant which is good for New England (unlike some years when it’s congrats M.A.) but adding extra STJ moisture could make it more exciting.
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If you go back another 5 years you get Xmas 2002 also. I remember a couple 40-burgers NW of ALB in that one.
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I remember they had 40”+ but don’t remember 50. 50” is really hard to get because the compaction becomes a major issue. Even if you clear every 6 hours.
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You prob wouldn’t get screwed much in a Miller B anyway unless it was compromised like that euro solution…which in that case, it’s not a major event anyway. But that look has potential if we can get a little wave spacing…you can see the Atlantic storm causing just enough interference…but all of this is easily correctable at 7 days out
