ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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The antecedent airmass is pretty good so there will be some wiggle room, but obviously you can't indefinitely stave off the warmth on that type of track....but something slightly east of that would probably be pretty good. Heck, even this solution was prob a solid thump over the interior.
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Sure it can....you just have to track the storm up into your fanny and it will rain there. Happens even in frigid patterns...how'd you do on January 17, 1994?
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GFS is gonna be a hugger....might flip us to rain.
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Rather than go fatality on you, I'd prob just do the upper cut on the spike pit arena.
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That's actually a pretty good hit for the Cape and Canal region. 1-2" maybe for the rest of eastern MA
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NAM is def trying.
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Monday starting to look really good on EPS....even though 06z EPS only goes to 144, you can see that a lot of those would likely turn the corner based on H5.
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EPS definitely looked interesting. More so for the 1/17 threat but can’t quite rule out 1/14 yet.
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What is the GFS doing…
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Man, we just need that PV lobe to dig a little further west and you’d prob get a partial phase enough to send this right up 70W. Wouldn't take much…I exaggerated the arrows but you get the point
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Sorry to hear. Glad it was a nice ceremony. Let’s hope we get an awesome stretch of winter wx…it always helps me through a tough time when I can be distracted by my passions.
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We need that PV lobe dropping down to trend a little west to give this room to amplify up the coast. I circled it in the image below
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That’s not even a bad look for New England. But prob isn’t going to satisfy your blizzard fetish.
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Then the pattern goes to hell around mid-Feb but obviously that is clown range on the weeklies.
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Yes. Still showing the -PNA returning for first week of February
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And yes, I bothered to actually look at the ICON. I was bored.
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Icon was a close miss at 18z. Need another 75 miles for the E MA/RI crowd.
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1/22/05
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That's prob the one...you prob had like 6-10 in that storm while further north and east got smoked.
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Oh jeez...that hting just hangs out over the arctic ocean...it never gets better sampled until after the Friday event is past.
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Yeah there was a bunch of OES enhancement going on along the south shore in that one. I think Blue Hill ended up with like 27 or 28 inches in that storm. BOS had 22 or 23?
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The shortwave directly responsible for Friday comes onshore tomorrow night....I'm not sure if there is another piece you are asking about that is affecting the ridge?
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There's some similarities 2005 and 2015 share....2015 was a little more amplified and also lasted longer. 2015 was basically that standing western ridge for 3-4 weeks....it did briefly break down and reload in the Feb 6-10 range but we got lucky while the rest of the CONUS torched and we had that weird overrunning event that lasted 3 days and culminated in a coastal redevelopment on the morning of Feb 9th. That's how you break records though....get lucky when everyone else is waiting for the reload.
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Maybe we can do the 17 year anniversary repeat.
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At some point, we gotta get smoked in this look, right?
