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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Metrowest between 128/495 trying to light up now. @ma blizzard just east of or ORH getting destroyed Still can’t get over Cape Ann…that convective thing is not moving very fast
  2. ORH_wxman
    I think someone there will be in the 16-20” range for sure when it’s done. You already about a foot in spots.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Def a convective look around Cape Ann
  4. ORH_wxman
    Some of the totals on the North Shore are gonna be crazy. Just getting annihilated.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Might get enhanced a bit as the arctic front approaches. You can see all the stuff starting to fill in too in metrowest
  6. ORH_wxman
    Cape Ann getting crushed now. whiteout in ORH now too.
  7. ORH_wxman
    You might get an hour or two of real good stuff here
  8. ORH_wxman
    Decent shot at 10”+ there.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Prob gonna be some very intense rates for a time. You’ll force a lot of air upwards when it hits the light onshore flow
  10. ORH_wxman
    Someone will end up with 18”+ there I think unless it shuts off very quick.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Complete crush job for Ginxy up to ORH.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Other than completely whiffing on the North Shore warning snowfall.
  13. ORH_wxman
    About 1.5” in Holliston. Starting to ramp up a bit though, flake size has improved despite no real radar trend overhead. That stuff to the west starting to light up though..
  14. ORH_wxman
    Ginxy gonna get 8”+
  15. ORH_wxman
    Reggie looks solid for RI. Mini-weenies for scooter and Ray.
  16. ORH_wxman
    These are the types of events you really need the large ranges. So much bust potential. These soundings are no joke for whoever gets stuck under some lift. It’s not like a marginal temp sounding with an inversion lower down in the atmosphere…this is lift-off if you can get a little forcing with the max omega cutting through the heart of the DGZ.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Not the worst spot to be before an IVT/norlun…playing naked twister with the max interior banding. But obviously these are fickle so you gotta keep expectations low.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Prob good for 2-4” eastern CT, 1-3” western (the higher side prob being Litchfield county)….might go a little higher near Ginxy and towns near RI. ORH to BOS is 3-6” but obviously someone is gonna get a surprise. Favoring Essex county and then maybe someone down near S RI. Might have to watch south shore too. It’s a really difficult forecast….inverted trough/Norluns probably have the largest bust potential of any snow event as forecasters.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Ray might delete his account if that happened.
  20. ORH_wxman
    That’s prob 2-3” per hour easy. Might get a clap of thunder if that verified.
  21. ORH_wxman
    I’ve only seen those 60+ TTs a small handful of times widespread during a winter/WINDEX type event…Jan 28, 2010 was one of them. I remember a pretty good one in Feb 2013 (wanna say 2/24/13) where some guidance was ramping up the TTs but I don’t think they quite reached 60.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Down in RI at 21z.....GFS sounding....TTs now around 55.
  23. ORH_wxman
    This is the GFS sounding at 18z tomorrow in metrowest 128-495 region....that's prob 2"+ per hour stuff...gotta love the TTs around 50. Someone could get thunder.
  24. ORH_wxman
    There’s no chance NYC goes below 0F. Unless there is just some sort of catastrophic model failure of 3-5C at 925mb.
  25. ORH_wxman
    BOX AFD def went somewhat wild…but I mostly agree with going bullish for the zones they did. That cross hair sig has been on almost every single model sounding. So wherever a band can set up, it’s gonna stack fast. That and the LL lapse rates are crazy good.
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