Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    91,989

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    I’m actually liking my spot tomorrow. Far enough inland with a little elevation to avoid major temp issues, but far enough east to hopefully get some good bands even on an 18z scenario. I still think SE MA is going to rip for a while. Might have to wait until 00z for the real goods but they should arrive. I think the midday/PM stuff could be kind of banded/spotty…if it isn’t, that’s a positive sign.
  2. ORH_wxman
    I’d like to see that early band showing up more robustly on other guidance. Some guidance shows legit snow in that while others are kind of insignificant (like maybe an inch or so).
  3. ORH_wxman
    Hard to see 8” back into the deeper interior.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Yeah today was just a disaster on model guidance. Euro prob did the best but even it didn’t quite capture it accurately.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Yeah this is why we don’t really over analyze the NAM. 3k isn’t even that similar to 12k this run.
  6. ORH_wxman
    It’s the NAM though, so whatever. No use in over analyzing it.
  7. ORH_wxman
    Maybe a bit east, but yes, decent overlap.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Best dynamics this run are actually from about 495 back through Kevin’s area and CT
  9. ORH_wxman
    One mild negative this run is the vort doesn’t look like it has as good of a “curl” to it by 21h
  10. ORH_wxman
    NAM looks a little more amped through 15h…we’ll see how it handles as it climbs latitude.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Coming down moderate here now. Finally starting to stick to everything except pavement. 33F.
  12. ORH_wxman
    All about rates for eastern zones imho….hard to have major ptype issues if 925 is like -3 with good rates. If the rates are crappy, it will be white rain. But as I always say, “if the rates are so crappy you can’t snow in that thermal profile, you weren’t missing out on much anyway.”
  13. ORH_wxman
    Regular EPS
  14. ORH_wxman
    Actually snowing good here now. Just got in on the edge. We’ll see for how long. Temp 33.5.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeah both were consistently SE of other guidance on this.
  16. ORH_wxman
    That band is crushing ORH KORH 171754Z 21008KT 1/4SM R11/2200V2800FT +SN FZFG VV009 M01/M02 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP153 P0003 60005 T10111017 10006 21039 58033
  17. ORH_wxman
    Kind of weird being on the line here. We get occasional weenie flakes and then it will stop and then start again. Temp has been around 33-34F but literally like 5-7 miles S or E is 37-40F…it’s like we’re getting a bit of evap cooling being on the edge
  18. ORH_wxman
    That’s pretty good poundtown near BOS down through south shore tomorrow evening and early overnight hours on the euro.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Might lose a couple tenths of QPF down near buzzards bay. But if euro is right you’d still be near warning criteria despite that.
  20. ORH_wxman
    12z euro just for tomorrows storm
  21. ORH_wxman
    That’s a big hit for SE Ma on euro. Even up into BOS.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Canadian ticked west. Really nice look for SE MA on that run.
  23. ORH_wxman
    OP GFs sfc kind of escaped east that run so it wasn’t quite as juiced with the main stuff. Still has moderate stuff pretty far west though. It actually might have trended slightly better over interior while being a bit worse for coast.
  24. ORH_wxman
    That model was jacking the Berkshires overnight. Pretty useless more than 24h out. Looks like it’s starting to come back to reality.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Has that nice curl to it
×
×
  • Create New...