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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Right in that band
  2. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I think we had 13 to 1 or so yesterday. I thought we may end up better than that, but not surprised either. I remember saying 13 or 14 to 1 is a good default in cold storms where good DGZ crosshair isn’t obvious…. Today’s stuff was obvious on model guidance. I was very confident in high ratio fluff for Monday PM stuff but yesterday is a very good example of not going crazy with ratios on a high QPF dump from a prototype SWFE
  3. ORH_wxman
    If I had these ratios yesterday I would’ve had a 40 burger. Prob 25 or 30 to 1 in this if not more.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Tried to grab a pic of how it’s stacking. Not as good as Dave’s but same idea
  5. ORH_wxman
    Pure nukage with mini cotton balls. This will be a really nice finale for you folks out east. Most guidance enhanced it a bit too out there as it interacts with the low level onshore flow…you can already see those bands near Cape Ann reacting and near Scooter
  6. ORH_wxman
    Ok this is legit nuking now. Before it was like that super efficient 3/4-1 mile cotton balls but now it’s just ripping down with vis under a half mile.
  7. ORH_wxman
    How much new in the last 90 min? That band has been intense. Just getting into the meat of it here and it was already stacking up with fatties falling.
  8. ORH_wxman
    Pure cotton balls falling
  9. ORH_wxman
    Cape Ann about to get another round of enhancement it looks like…ORH band is really ramping up too
  10. ORH_wxman
    Well if you keep trending the main shortwave well northeast like the ICON did, eventually it will just be a low in the OH valley redeveloping off Mid-atlantic. Right now it's not doing that.
  11. ORH_wxman
    Here comes the vortmax stuff blossoming right on queue (guidance was really hitting after 21z). Should be pretty decent for a few hours
  12. ORH_wxman
    Snow banks are real deal out of this. Would’ve easily surpassed 25” if we had like 18 to 1 instead of 13 to 1 or so. But the QPF always shows up in the snow banks. My oldest son decided to dig a hole into the snow bank while I was clearing out the mailbox
  13. ORH_wxman
    24h QPF on ensembles....the total would actually be a bit more though since the timing isn't the same on all the members
  14. ORH_wxman
    That’s a solid hit on the Cape on the OP euro. Total Phil on ACK
  15. ORH_wxman
    Nice band over central areas right now.
  16. ORH_wxman
    You’ll get at least 1-2” today. At least a moderate shot at more…best dPVA not until after 21z….radar will fill in as the afternoon wears on and into evening. The best will def be in the CJ spots but the rest of us in central/eastern areas should get a steady burst for a time.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Not bad
  18. ORH_wxman
    You’ll still have a shot at 20 this afternoon/evening. At least unlike bigger coastal storms, there weren’t a lot of notable subby zones in this. If you got enhancement, it wasn’t at the expense of your neighbors this time around.
  19. ORH_wxman
    I’d be shocked if you didn’t grab at least 2”. Could be 3-5” if you get into some nice fluff bands this evening. IVT seems to enhance the dPVA snows as they hit eastern areas after 21z.
  20. ORH_wxman
    Cape Ann with a lot of 20-burgers. What a great storm for them. Not sure there had been a place more screwed in SNE over the past 5 years than Cape Ann area….and that might include Scooter’s area. They should grab several more later too.
  21. ORH_wxman
    14z HRRR drops a quarter inch of QPF today over eastern zones. 12z NAM not quite as enthused
  22. ORH_wxman
    15.8" "new" storm depth (that is not including the few inches still OTG from last week)....18.1" total for the storm clearing every 6 hours. Hoping to grab a couple today to make it a 20 burger
  23. ORH_wxman
    That mini dryslot filled in quick for eastern areas. Crazy how just when it was lightening up, now it’s completely choking flakes again. This has been a really fun storm.
  24. ORH_wxman
    This is the best snow here in hours. We weren’t even necessarily getting better returns than the last few hours but the dryslot approaching is probably helping.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Snow growth has improved considerably closer to the dryslot. Absolutely choking flakes right now
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