Jump to content

ORH_wxman

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    90,902

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Haha, he subverted your own joke. That was well-played. 18z gfs is going nuts tomorrow midday/afternoon. Really interested to see how that plays out in the 128 to 495 belt.
  2. ORH_wxman
    I like that area tomorrow if they can stay around 31-32. Should be some decent convergence there. Anywhere with even a few hundred feet of weenie elevation should do well. My modest 350-400 feet may help a lot tomorrow down here near 495.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Pretty uniform easterly flow from sfc to 925 tomorrow morning/midday....that's gonna be good for central/eastern hills. Wonder if that Foxborough area can get in on that action a bit too.
  4. ORH_wxman
    Been the trend all day today
  5. ORH_wxman
    Suppression can happen, but I always love seeing the best negative height anomalies going through the southern mid-atlantic for big snows in New England.
  6. ORH_wxman
    48 hours later on EPS
  7. ORH_wxman
    Does have support from the EPS
  8. ORH_wxman
    The IVT tomorrow really would favor eastern slopes of ORH hills with that light easterly glide. The enhancement has been showing up on a lot of mesos.
  9. ORH_wxman
    18z RAP continues to really amped up that leading band for the pike region....12z run had almost nothing for BOS prior to 09-10z but now it has like 3" of snow in that band by that point.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Moved the psycho-analysis of George's rooting interests in this storm to the banter thread. Let's try and not get derailed.
  11. ORH_wxman
    I'd sign on dotted line for that solution even though I flip to pellets. Really solid thump. Hopefully we start wobbling on the track now....don't want it to go further north.
  12. ORH_wxman
    While 2015 was pretty pedestrian in the CT Valley....1717 is probably the only semi-recorded year that can rival the 2015 blitz out east near Boston. 90-100 inches in a 23 day period....the 1717 blitz wasn't as much but it occurred in about half the time. Like 60-70" over 11 days, lol.
  13. ORH_wxman
    http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/1997/us1223.php (btw, that reference never gets old, lol)
  14. ORH_wxman
    I might actually get warning snows out of this now...I was bracing for 3" 24 hours ago.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Yeesh, that's a brutal job by the Euro...look at how different 00z run was
  16. ORH_wxman
    Interior SE MA hills may do decent....that Foxborough/Sharon area with a few hundred feet. I think east slopes of ORH hills are going to do well tomorrow too as they will likely stay a tick below freezing with the elevation there.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Looking a bit closer at better maps, Ukie trended a bit north, but the result didn't really seem to change much.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Ukie looks like it held serve from 00z...continues not to be quite as juicy as other models but it likes the idea of a low end warning event for most of SNE/CNE.
  19. ORH_wxman
    Yeah a lot of it will be beaten back on Wed/Thu...prob not all of it though. Obviously depends how much we get too...if we get 7", it's not all going away. But if we limp to 3 inches, then most of that might go. I still have about 2" of glacier here too, so there's going to be that underneath as well, so I doubt there's a lot of grass showing after Thursday outside of the sun-torched south/west slopes.
  20. ORH_wxman
    This one kind of has 2/5/14 vibes....primary slamming into CLE but then hitting a wall of confluence in Quebec. But at this stage, 75 miles in either direction could produce large sensible wx differences than that 2014 event.
  21. ORH_wxman
    GGEM was really suppressed at 00z, so it's not a surprise it came north to be more in line with other guidance.
  22. ORH_wxman
    GGEM is a pretty huge hit for SNE...does tickle the sleet line about up to the pike but there's a pretty robust front ender prior to that down south of there.
  23. ORH_wxman
    Trailing shortwave regenerates snow.
  24. ORH_wxman
    There's still a large spread on how the NAO is handling the Quebec confluence to the north. I want to see that spread reduce some before getting confident in solutions.
  25. ORH_wxman
    GFS kitchen sink storm for SNE....front ender snow to sleet to ZR (interior...rain coast). Almost looks like a juicer version of 2/22-23
×
×
  • Create New...