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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    Yeah the new PNS looks better
  2. ORH_wxman
    The newer PNS is a total disaster. Can’t see dates and they only have times without AM/PM designation….but it honestly looks like they left a whole bunch of lower reports in there from yesterday before the storm was over. So many of those numbers don’t pass the smell test. They have exactly 2 totals over 20” in Middlesex county and a dozen sub-17” totals.
  3. ORH_wxman
    These trends are poor so far at 12z. Sans GFS. I guess is Euro comes west, we won’t care that much about the Ukie/GGEM.
  4. ORH_wxman
    They are just being slow in updating the PNS. Not sure why it’s THAT slow, but they already announced on social media some of the storm totals so the entire thing is included.
  5. ORH_wxman
    Well you don’t want it to initially close off near ACK because it’s prob not captured yet when it first closes off. You want it to close off near VA/NC and then swing northeast.
  6. ORH_wxman
    You don’t want the low closing off over SC/GA. Need it more around VA/NC.
  7. ORH_wxman
    22.1 total in Holliston after the pure blower fluff last night.
  8. ORH_wxman
    We def want this closing off further north. The only mechanism that really brings the low north is the closing off of the upper low itself as it expands. So if you dig it too far south initially, it has more trouble recovering the latitude.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Their ‘97 reference for ORH is incorrect. Total there was 33.0”.
  10. ORH_wxman
    Last band for BOS and then south shore. What a great event
  11. ORH_wxman
    Pretty insane dPVA going into an area of LL convergence and already saturated.
  12. ORH_wxman
    Yeah. Almost acting like an embedded WINDEX event. Esp over the Cape and adjacent where there is steep lapse rates.
  13. ORH_wxman
    It’s actually snowing pretty decent in this band back by 495….vis dropped quite a bit…but man, that PYM band
  14. ORH_wxman
    Man this band is getting even stronger. Duxbury to PYM incoming…then prob Cape
  15. ORH_wxman
    2 inches new in this stuff now….20 burger achieved.
  16. ORH_wxman
    We just need Mainejayhawk to AI a pic of you trying to repair a broken weed whacker while Scooter is in the background laughing surrounded by feet of snow.
  17. ORH_wxman
    Best to come in BOS.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Right in that band
  19. ORH_wxman
    Yeah I think we had 13 to 1 or so yesterday. I thought we may end up better than that, but not surprised either. I remember saying 13 or 14 to 1 is a good default in cold storms where good DGZ crosshair isn’t obvious…. Today’s stuff was obvious on model guidance. I was very confident in high ratio fluff for Monday PM stuff but yesterday is a very good example of not going crazy with ratios on a high QPF dump from a prototype SWFE
  20. ORH_wxman
    If I had these ratios yesterday I would’ve had a 40 burger. Prob 25 or 30 to 1 in this if not more.
  21. ORH_wxman
    Tried to grab a pic of how it’s stacking. Not as good as Dave’s but same idea
  22. ORH_wxman
    Pure nukage with mini cotton balls. This will be a really nice finale for you folks out east. Most guidance enhanced it a bit too out there as it interacts with the low level onshore flow…you can already see those bands near Cape Ann reacting and near Scooter
  23. ORH_wxman
    Ok this is legit nuking now. Before it was like that super efficient 3/4-1 mile cotton balls but now it’s just ripping down with vis under a half mile.
  24. ORH_wxman
    How much new in the last 90 min? That band has been intense. Just getting into the meat of it here and it was already stacking up with fatties falling.
  25. ORH_wxman
    Pure cotton balls falling
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