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ORH_wxman

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Everything posted by ORH_wxman

  1. ORH_wxman
    NAM would prob still get eastern areas I think…but I’m not gonna spend more than about 30 seconds extrapolating the 84h NAM.
  2. ORH_wxman
    No the storm could still track closer but it’s not going to be via that route. It would likely be pulled almost due north on a closer track…we could track it from east of HSE up near the BM and that would probably spread decent snows back to the valley.
  3. ORH_wxman
    Yeah…i mean I’d love for that low to track from interior NC to inside the BM, lol…but that’s not happening in this setup.
  4. ORH_wxman
    I remember when he saw no shadow in 2013…I think we had like 75” of snow after that point. The smart pick though is for him to see his shadow. He sees it most years.
  5. ORH_wxman
    That’s not the actual low track…not sure why it’s depicted that way. The low actually starts off the coast of Savannah (after a weak vestige near FL panhandle 12 hours earlier) It’s not over interior NC and moving northeast.
  6. ORH_wxman
    Half of the MBTA trains stopped working that winter. It was a disaster commuting on the train into Boston. I had my office in the seaport that winter. Seaport was prob ground zero though, lol. I remember that one mesoscale event in mid-February (not the 2/15 storm) where there was this very narrow band of snow hugging the coast. Like back bay was sunny I think and when we got to south station, it was almost a whiteout. They had like 3-4” of feathers on the seaport.
  7. ORH_wxman
    CFS? Lol. Surprised Ant didn’t pull out the Korean.
  8. ORH_wxman
    AI hasn’t been as consistent as last couple threats. They kind of locked in pretty early on those. Sometimes they’ve shown a hit in this and other times it’s a cape scraper.
  9. ORH_wxman
    Well if we only looked at GEFS and EPS, we’d predict a big hit for eastern areas.
  10. ORH_wxman
    March 1960 was pretty widespread but didn’t get quite as far south with the snow.
  11. ORH_wxman
    It’s the 84h NAM but that would likely extrapolate to a hit on some level.
  12. ORH_wxman
    In my defense, my guess was correct. It was hidden down in the memory hole but not quite deep enough.
  13. ORH_wxman
    He used to post here right? All of the sudden I can’t remember his handle…rainshadow? He was at Mt holly by that point.
  14. ORH_wxman
    I have another analog https://www.meteo.psu.edu/ewall/NARR/1989/us0224.php#picture Ok, just had to get the childhood PTSD out of the way…I do think this one looks better than that one did.
  15. ORH_wxman
    Would be nice to get the Euro suite on board. Need a 100 mile bump west on it.
  16. ORH_wxman
    GEFS mean is a huge storm for eastern folks and a moderate storm even for western NE. Edit: 4seasons beat me to it
  17. ORH_wxman
    Someone needs to AI a pic of Scooter rounding up Wolf pelts.
  18. ORH_wxman
    Yeah the new PNS looks better
  19. ORH_wxman
    The newer PNS is a total disaster. Can’t see dates and they only have times without AM/PM designation….but it honestly looks like they left a whole bunch of lower reports in there from yesterday before the storm was over. So many of those numbers don’t pass the smell test. They have exactly 2 totals over 20” in Middlesex county and a dozen sub-17” totals.
  20. ORH_wxman
    These trends are poor so far at 12z. Sans GFS. I guess is Euro comes west, we won’t care that much about the Ukie/GGEM.
  21. ORH_wxman
    They are just being slow in updating the PNS. Not sure why it’s THAT slow, but they already announced on social media some of the storm totals so the entire thing is included.
  22. ORH_wxman
    Well you don’t want it to initially close off near ACK because it’s prob not captured yet when it first closes off. You want it to close off near VA/NC and then swing northeast.
  23. ORH_wxman
    You don’t want the low closing off over SC/GA. Need it more around VA/NC.
  24. ORH_wxman
    22.1 total in Holliston after the pure blower fluff last night.
  25. ORH_wxman
    We def want this closing off further north. The only mechanism that really brings the low north is the closing off of the upper low itself as it expands. So if you dig it too far south initially, it has more trouble recovering the latitude.
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