ORH_wxman
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Everything posted by ORH_wxman
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Best chance for a real torch is if that cutter early next week (around 3/9-3/10) can cleanly warm sector us. Models have been off and on with that. If it’s a clean warm sector, we def would get 70F. I remember we got one in 1990 where we spiked over 80F and then I think we got a warning snow event a week later or less. Of course, we pulled something similar in 2007. It was very warm a couple days before the St Pattys day eve event. Not sure we hit 70 but it was close.
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If this verifies, this is where we’ll likely have multiple threats during the 3/15-3/25 period. That’s not a rotted out polar airmass. But if it backs off, then no dice.
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Yep this is where I’m at. Well maybe get a pre-FROPA spike one day but otherwise lots of dirty mildness with some CAD thrown in at times. Pretty much pure garbage for anything useful other than melting back some snow banks…but that can be achieved even in a climo pattern in March when it’s not snowing.
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Euro had right idea west….glue factory eastern areas.
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I’m calling it 1.4”…this was maybe 10 min before it ended
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Let’s get a mid-month icestorm.
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Kids “Olympic Bobsled Track” with a new coating on it. They actually made this by accident due to the deep snow when they tried to sled, it created a depression to form the track and then once they saw bobsled and luge on TV, they decided that’s what their own track was.
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About an inch new.
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Ripping again in this band. Fun stuff. Too bad we couldn’t slow this down into like a 4-6 hour type event. We’d prob score 5-8”
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Prob 1-2” per hour stuff right now but it’s gonna lighten up in a few min.
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Seeing snow growth like this is always fun no matter how fleeting
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Pounding now in this band. Sticking to all surfaces including pavement. should ramp up a little more as the best echoes are still slightly west
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Next week could still spike but I’m always skeptical.
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Went from nothing to steady light snow in like 3 min. Prob 3/4-1 mile stuff. we’ll see if we can ramp up with that heavier band
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The type of torch modeled this week honestly sucks. I’m 100% with Kevin. If we’re not gonna be 60+, then keep it winter. Nothing worse than 40s and 50s with some CAD 30s rain mixed in there. Absolute utter garbage. Maybe next week we can get a clean warm sector but lotta lead time for things to go sideways.
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Not remotely the same. You had like 2”+ of QPF with epic rates.
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We lost the phased western trough in the LR. It gets cutoff in the SW. That would prob make it easier for us to CAD. Ensmebkes have that Hudson Bay PV pressing by mid-month still, so I’m buying that idea of one more round of chances. Esp over interior but fresh cold means even coast could get in on it too if we keep seeing that PV press.
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It doesn’t advect into us enough for lots of frozen. We might get lots of CAD 37F drizzle/rain during the warmup. But might still need to watch end of next week given how obscenely strong that Quebec high gets. I do think we will have another window of chances starting sometime around mid-month though. PV keeps sinking toward Hudson Bay on ensembles.
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Euro is still paltry but all other guidance is 1-3”. Maybe even iso 4” in the western highlands.
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Def in your area for sure. Your area struggled a bit in December ‘02 after the 12/5 event. Not as bad as the coastline, but Xmas storm there was pretty sloppy and even the 1/3-4/03 storm was much higher totals northwest. So you didn’t build the huge snow pack that northwest of 495 in MA did. Pretty hard to beat Feb 2003 there though. I think the 2/7 event and PD II gave you 3+ feet.
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What about Jan 26-27, 2015 there? You are pretty close to 495 so I thought that band that gave 30"+ from near or just south of ASH to Westford to ORH would have gotten you....but maybe you were just shy.
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Yeah in a lot of places it does, that was an extremely cold winter...it was a full degree colder than this winter was and this winter was no slouch...top 15 coldest at ORH airport since it went online 1948. I don't think it quite beats this year right near here though for snow cover. Though it's close....this year also beats that season for having a lot of days with pack >= 18".
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They should basically be tied....but you started in November so it is counting those days. Which is fair, but I was speaking from Dec 1st onward.
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We hate this particular winter, but also 2009-10 went almost the entire way with pack over the interior (esp north of pike)...frustrating winter, but it had excellent pack retention over interior elevated areas.
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Def further S and E it has this year beat because of December which was kind of iffy once inside 495 and south of here....I went most of December with snow cover, but you didn't have to go far for a lot of month not having it. Driving into Quincy, I always noticed it disappearing east of about Dover/Dedham in December. If you go further north north into ORH county, 2007-2008 will have this year beat. They went wire to wire there once the 12/3/07 storm dropped a few inches up there.
