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baltosquid

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Everything posted by baltosquid

  1. Hard to tell in the swarm, but seems like the tuck and stall off the coast is well liked by the 18z EPS maybe?
  2. Not the kind of perfect run we saw on the euro but some aspects seem better. Seems like the GFS is more likely to cave to the euro rn.
  3. Looks like an all snow affair for 95 right now... but what will the back end look like?
  4. So far, it seems like the GFS is the only model that wants to get rid of the confluence early. Even at the tail end of the long meso runs (NAM 12 and RGEM) the GFS is already starting to pull away to the east. It would be a great show of force for the model if it does indeed verify with a faster exit, but right now it's pretty much alone it appears. Edit: FWIW, NAVGEM looks pretty good too but not really one of the models to take cues from.
  5. Ukie looks nice, honestly could be a bit TOO far south/off the coast in some respects. Wouldn't be as good as 00z Euro (though can't say for certain since the run ends too soon to really get a sense of the kind of coastal it may or may not have) but not bad.
  6. Canadian looks colder through 84. Hopefully we can get the GFS to be the odd one out compared to the ICON, GEM and Euro. Would make me feel a lot better.
  7. If verified, don't think anyone in the subforum would have less than 3 inches (S/SW of ocean city). Usual caveats with 10:1 maps. When's the last time everyone was able to walk away with something like that, no fringing? But let's wait and see what the more well regarded models have to say shortly.
  8. Icon has always seemed to hate snow so that's something
  9. We want a quicker transfer if we want to get the best of both lows, right?
  10. The fact that the euro looks that good a week out has me worried lol. Can’t shake the feeling that it’s unlikely to be dead right this far out and the adjustments are usually rough for us. I’ll feel more confident if it still looks like that come Thursday 12z. But really good run nonetheless.
  11. The models have all been bouncing around some sort of system on the 24th/25th/26th. CMC probably the closest to what we'd want so far. Needs a stronger/better placed 50/50 low and more blocking, though. The high as shown would probably disappoint us in the same ways the high with yesterday's storm did.
  12. Greetings from the Mid-Atlantic forum, anyone got a total for Bryn Mawr/Villanova?
  13. Sleet getting fairly intense by the park. Wish snow had held on longer, bet the rates would have been great.
  14. Change to sleet complete at Patterson Park. Measure 2 inches on my car and a bit more on the doorstep. Let's see if we get anything on the back end, fingers crossed.
  15. Think the snow is on its last legs in by Patterson, flakes are smaller and I occasionally hear some impacts on the windows.
  16. Patterson Park's been covered enough that the sleds are starting to come out in force. Still snowing here, big flakes, expecting change though.
  17. Not there, but I think we're starting to get some of that here in Baltimore and the rates definitely seem better. Some fatties for sure.
  18. For those still paying attention, HRRR at 17z looks marginally better for the I95 (except for DC... about the same there).
  19. The hardest snow yet by Patterson Park is starting to stick to the roads; paths inside the park are almost totally white.
  20. Baltimore flakes by Patterson Park just got huge 31 degrees.
  21. Still snowing in Baltimore. Cars getting covered, grass getting whiter. Rates are better than an hour or so ago by a bit, holding steady, hopefully can pick up before the changeover. Might be able to get Patterson Park's grass fully covered; that's at least my hope.
  22. Snowing in Baltimore, around Patterson Park, more than a flurry but not heavy yet. Think it's time for me to go pick up my family's gifts at the post office and experience it while it's here
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