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Torch Tiger

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Everything posted by Torch Tiger

  1. Torch Tiger
    that was quick
  2. Torch Tiger
    no argument, but it's still no bueno here. Maybe some ImpAcTz Bermuda/E Canada I suppose
  3. Torch Tiger
    Yeah I agree with that. Weakening or structural changes, another way this could be less than worst-case.
  4. Torch Tiger
    We've seen these trochoidal wobble around islands including Jamaica, as well. Especially the slow w/wsw drifters. There are a variety of scenarios that are less than "worst-case", a little early to be declaring anything
  5. Torch Tiger
    Yeah looks cuttery
  6. Torch Tiger
    Too confusing
  7. Torch Tiger
    we just don't know who will know?
  8. Torch Tiger
    disastrous and looking more likely
  9. Torch Tiger
    you're playing with him
  10. Torch Tiger
    Yeah it's very low chances, but certainly not impossible. Even the ensemble "clusters" or "camps" are a mess through D5, even D2. lol so we'll see where things land in a few days.
  11. Torch Tiger
    Lfg!
  12. Torch Tiger
    Nobody knows
  13. Torch Tiger
    looks more interesting than yesterday, but I'd prefer a month earlier with similar dynamics lol
  14. Torch Tiger
    why?
  15. Torch Tiger
    11/2 looking exciting on the 12z gfs!
  16. Torch Tiger
    Coc.
  17. Torch Tiger
    'Grats
  18. Torch Tiger
    Moderate rain shower with no wind at all
  19. Torch Tiger
    Awt
  20. Torch Tiger
    fine line...that must be inducted into the fraud 7 or whatever Right up there with the D5 cheerfully optimistic anafrontal 3-6" for Christmas day i'm not working tomorrow so expecting a dud, but hopefully DIT and Ineedsnow get some damage
  21. Torch Tiger
  22. Torch Tiger
    Looks light Could be a rumble or two of thunder with strongest shower activity but unfavorable time of day and shallow progged instability should limit this. Flow fields are pretty strong, with winds around 925 mb around 50-55 kt, but strongest jetcore is locked in a shallow inversion. Pattern looks similar to what we tend to find in late-Fall and the early-Spring with a strongly-forced line of downpours with brief gusty winds but limited severe weather potential.
  23. Torch Tiger
    ^^ Had my car slightly underwater in that lot once when the Pemi went over banks.
  24. Torch Tiger
    Never looked like much
  25. Torch Tiger
    not "day of" but 11/2 day cold Stein
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