Torch Tiger
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Everything posted by Torch Tiger
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even if it's a miss it can't escape 100%. jmo Just saying what the Euro is showing, not that it'll play out like that obv :p
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Euro looks quite a bit better by 240. At least the UL pattern. L/W trough over Hudson Bay right where you want it, strong high pressures over the N ATL. S/W over SE Canada splits and zips NE.
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Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
Torch Tiger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
Perfect day -
May be more difficult or rare, but both Carol and Edna occurred in this type of regime.
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Yeah that's how we do it. Forget about a negative tilt OV/TN valley trough absorbing/capturing it, that's a pipe dream. I'd rather a big blocking high to the northeast run a squeeze play situation. As we mentioned Sunday
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She gone
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Main thread
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it's good for society
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recent history says it has potential. lol https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Fiona
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it's about time Southeast Canada got crushed by a hurricane
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again and again
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Too bad the UL pattern is absolute azz on the Euro
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917mb on the Euro
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6z shows how it would need to be done, if it's to approach up here. 250mb jet placement and shape is really good, too bad it's so far out
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that's still a decent hit for eastern areas/Cape
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that really doesn't show anything.
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perfect really. Just don't want to see a broad trough/westerlies way south into the GL/NE beyond D9-10, much rather take chances with high heights and a squeeze play between highs, ala 54 Carol.
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track was 1821/1944ish. that'd be fun
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US east coast wide open on that gfs run. wow
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weee
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It's generally been considered a 3 LF in New England but yeah, technically may not be. BID gusted to 130, and who knows what the peak winds actually were, so there's that.
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Carol was a 3 at landfall on E LI, then a 2 at second landfall in CT.
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Yes of course it's low odds, but you said there have been no major hurricane strikes since 1938 which is false.
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better chance of a cold, snowy winter than that hurricane hitting us. IOW ain't happening
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Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
Torch Tiger replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
