Thats true I heard old timers say that in weather all the time. but the new crop of meteorologists will use %90 of models and they live and die by it. If a model shows ots they hug it. if a model shows up the coast oh its to early to know if it still goes ots. if a model calls for 1-3 they hug it if a model shows 12-18 inchs they are like hold your horses.