Ruin

right along the coast maybe we can see some snows then?

going into work for ot tomorrow I may leave early since its Kind of on a summit and tricky hills

I understand about having a tight storm and tight circulation. but the same time its a huge storm and the moisture field early on like 6 days ago was huge even the sub 960 L. Ive seen so many storms that have been sub 960 all these mets were shocked by it and were saying no way thats a cat 2 hurricane etc. I chuckled cause in the last 20 years Ive seen so many.

I was shocked on a few model runs it was at the bench mark and southern PA north MD VA hardly got anything or nothing. I cant remember the last time a bench mark snow gave so many around i95 nothing esp north and west. tho most of the time we have low going north from the south then transferring off the coast.

wouldnt it be nice out of all the times the models took away our storms that this time we get a storm back from the jaws of defeat just 50 miles more west and so many of us will be happy with our few inchs

Honestly would be nice for all the storms models took away if this trended another 100 miles west or so and gave us close to 4 to 6 inch's

Sigh

jinx I said Maybe ill wake up to a diff forecast lol

I thought the one over night model was still out to the east? from the things I read at least I hope to wake up to a diff forecast lol

any idea how far went any snow comes? reading harrisburg etc

Im on my phone atm not going to scroll forever to read posts from a few hours ago. if the post was right before mine maybe I wrote this as the post your referring to was posted I was also talking about how the models just changed in one run thats a valid point. If thats due to feedback problems the models not seeing something or the models seeing something now they didnt see the run before none the less my point of view remains and is valid.

the giant spread of models jumping all over the place just adds to how much models cant latch on to some energy blocking etc. Its hard I know but it feels that these models are getting worse esp in the winter.

From where it started to where it's going. We shouldn't get overly hyped over models from 5 6 7 days out

Lol

All relaxed here

Nah I don't think I will so move on now.

No ty but you can

What hour is it out too so far

This my local Mets just embraced the jog west and locked it in. But models shows western tracks or a jog they say to early to call

Bang in what way

We need to start holding the national weather service accountable yeah this is going to be slightly ranty. But think about it logically for a minute how often are the models actually write and I'm not just talking about three or four days out I'm talking about the day before storm. I swear to God models were more accurate before all these upgrades in 2000 and 2005 or so models I would say 50/50 would get it right now it's like every single storm they show even the day before we're supposed to get it oh all of a sudden all models show it's going to jog 150 to 200 miles east. Does anyone have an actual percentage of what they're right about I mean to show Pennsylvania from Central to East and most of Maryland having 48 or 12 in and then all of a sudden now nothing every single model shifted from a slightly Coast hugger now to out the sea in a way. I mean think about it for a second if we were wrong that much at our jobs you would have been fired lol

why i dont get excited any more about storms 4 5 6 days out. the models never ever hold any more. wouldnt be surprised if this goes off the south east coast. if it does stay near the coast it wont have the strength or precip. I wish every would get the best out of this storm but as normal it feels it isnt our storm or at least the big one.

I have another question so yesterday my high for fri was 27 now its all the way to 35? would this signal the storm is closer to the coast? pushing warmer ocean air into our area? or am i reading to much into this I know normally our forecast highs tend to be warmer then they end up being warm bias and all.

Models are just sad lol

Ty no one said this at all hope the storm can blast the boundary apart lol