Ruin

I wish my forecast earlier was snow changing to rain maybe a inch or 2. that same local forecast now rose the temps up 5 to 42 and now a cold rain.

your very welcome

why I dont get excited for what models claim any more lol

they do this all the time for lsv they love to downplay snow amounts and the little to no accumulation has got to be fav words at that building lol

well its not like im wrong about that. even inside 24 hours ive been in a blizzard warning to nothing lol. I just dunno how when I was younger it felt like they were more accurate

lol not even gonna get excited over a storm until its less then 24 hours away

im in south central PA and the start of fall went from like 86 the day before down to the 60s for the next 2 weeks. we had people at work complaining how it sucked going from really hot weather to chilly out of no where. Mind you these were older people. it even then became even colder down to the 50s for a good week when we should of been in the low 70s.

lol funny you should say that my uncle and me plotted temps for like 10 years when I was younger the numbers we plotted for temp that we got from weather stations now show up 4-7 cooler then when you go back and look at those online now.

they often promote warm seasons then average but hardly headline the very cold at all. like this fall it was one of the coolest I can remember but didnt talk at all about records. just daily about how cool it was.

Is it to much to ask them to stop updating models? every time they update them they tend to do worse. Yeah they may be correct on 1 storm but they are wrong 90% of the time

years following mdt recordings they often round down a bit

and again the cold air gets pushed back on model runs and extended forecast instead of 14th starting to get colder with maybe a storm. I saw 40s and 50s all the way to the 20th at least Last couple of years have been like this the cold air they call for never comes keeps getting pushed back. thats why I was surprised we got thee mini artic air mass we did around Christmas

still 39 here I dont know how we are forecasted to get down to 27? any one else having this problems models have been not only wrong about systems precip wise but as well with temps. last 2 weeks after the cold freeze we had. our over night lows have got no where near forecast. mostly cause strangely even with no systems around we get cloud cover

Models showed me to have a low of 27 tonight and its midnight and still 39. Not only have models been wrong for where storms are going for a while. but every night for 2 weeks almost it clouds over at night even if no system is around and we still way warmer then forecasted. even if I get any thing in my area it will be wet not white.

Ive been saying this for years every since the major update to models I think in 2016 they have got worse. Yet people just call me a weanie haha

that snow map dont look legit lol

This is for the 9th my forecast is sunny and surprisingly 48 haven't the weather forecasts caught up? Or is this still s outside chance

overcast after a few hours of mostly cloud skies then started to lightly rain. temp never got above 47 here

31st high for me was 46 forecasted for 50 down to 44 here. but its just odd this whole week its been mostly sunny during the day. clouds roll in over night even tho for most of the nights we had no systems move through. So kept the over night lows 10 degrees above forecasted lows.

Forecast here was 50 Middletown was 52 hia airport showed 56 at one point i live within 3 mins of Middletown and just a min from hia I thought they all got reporting from same area I guess not

forecast was 28 only hit 23 even tho we warmed up last night 8 degrees somehow with no cloud cover. we still came in 5 degrees short

The thing that gets me is that 6 to 7 days before the code snap the Arctic blast the forecast for Christmas weekend Friday Saturday Sunday was temps in the mid to upper 40s with maybe a shower but otherwise whether uneventful. And what happened 4 days before the Christmas weekend size and Arctic blast to the point that they said this could last for several weeks early on my temperatures for next week we're in the twenties all week and you know people bought it as gospel now people see a warm up which will probably happen like it always does but models this far out cannot predict weather for anything it's the best guess case scenario.

My argument to this is that 6-8 days before this artic cold they forecasted highs in the mid 40s to upper 40s from va md de pa. So I wouldnt put to much stock in what this says atm. with that said it most likely will happen just to screw us over lol. but its hard to predict any thing with these models a few days out let alone a week plus

abc 27 local station forecast was for 6 for a low tonight its all ready 3. hour by hour accuweather has me going from 4 too 9 between 4-5am lol dunno how thats a thing.

my area never got to the forecast high of 53 only got to 47 now down to 42