For any given event the number of factors that need to line up for any one particular area to receive heavy snow or ice far exceeds the few things that will cause a forecast to so call bust. The non event forecast for your backyard is always the easy money play.
As an Illini grad he's been mentally abused by his sports teams over the years to think he will always be let down. Its just being projected into his weather thoughts.lol
Actually still dont think this ever materializes into more then cold rain and a little slop on the back end. Really only have the Euro pointing to a significant snowfall. Waiting for it to cave to blah GFS and lack of cold air CMC. The wacky NAM will fall in line last minute with a poof its gone run inside 24 hrs. However recent data: UKMET and GEFS may hold out some hope.