Jump to content

Cary67

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,482

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Cary67

  1. Cary67
    2.5" call looking legit
  2. Cary67
    Just start looking at Ukie as soon as possible.I think its overlooked since it doesn't run out as far or as often. Maybe its not buying into delayed phase
  3. Cary67
    See the foreign model bleeding continues even as 12k NAM gives Champaign WSW. Hoosier and Detroit reeling in the Ukie. After this year no complaints about NW and stronger after SE weaker has ruled this winter
  4. Cary67
    Did the GFS slow down also and phase later like the NAM?
  5. Cary67
    Small melt downs are good for the soul.
  6. Cary67
    Is the NAM slowing this event down?
  7. Cary67
    Can't discount the GFS and would reasonably expect models to slightly wobble back north by tomorrow evening. But this year seems to be the winter of SE weaker and lame so the Ukie represented that. Went for a walk today it was nice. Golf seems far off though.
  8. Cary67
    Not by the Ukie. 1-2". A little more SE shift and weakening by 0Z Euro and your there. Also MKE area in the same boat.
  9. Cary67
    If anything the volatility of these models would indicate NWS offices should issue winter advisories no sooner than 12 hrs out. For this event nothing sent out till tomorrow afternoon or evening for LOT.
  10. Cary67
    I thought the Ukie was the southern outlier?
  11. Cary67
    Ukie gaining momentum. Starting to take control of the fight. Pull a little on the loose string and it all falls apart.
  12. Cary67
    Oh yeah. Holding to that 2.5" call
  13. Cary67
    In all honesty we seem to be in a good spot. Will see if Euro stays the course
  14. Cary67
    Ukie's calling all the models home for supper but their late and the food ran out. Ukie has me busting high on my 2.5" call
  15. Cary67
    If its too soon to determine snow amts its too soon for a WSW. Why not issue them tomorrow after 12Z runs to see if it holds up then warnings Monday evening or early Tuesday?
  16. Cary67
    Uncle Ukie calling the models home.lol CMC first back
  17. Cary67
    Will board the train 12Z Tues. when WSWs are in place. We still have 36hrs to watch mesoscale models contradict globals and for people who thought they were out of it to gain temporary hope.
  18. Cary67
    Tue night into Wed accum snow event. More than enough model run time to tame this thing.
  19. Cary67
    My guess is amts will generally decrease as we draw close to the event as well as margins will narrow. Ukie still offering a lame way out.
  20. Cary67
    We need Beavis for some perspective
  21. Cary67
    That area and pts north have been favored area this winter.
  22. Cary67
    Look for 0Z GEFS trends towards a dud. Models all over the place. Watch Euro be SE and weak no phase.lol
  23. Cary67
    Too many days..too many ways. Initial call 2.5"
  24. Cary67
    I can cherry pick ensembles to keep this thread going for days
  25. Cary67
    Dealing out false hope is my business
×
×
  • Create New...