Cary67

They just reported roughly 126,000 vaccinations have been given in IL so far. Been about two weeks worth of vaccine availability. Assuming we kept that rate of vaccinations it would take yrs to vaccinate enough people.

I maybe a bit naive here in Mchenry Co. but most everything seems open during this so called tier 2 mitigation of closings. Most of our restaurants are open for indoor dining and bars. Stores were busy over the holidays. Outside of the airlines and my kids not being in school can't really see this round of restrictions affecting my neighbors from going about their lives. They just have to wear a mask while shopping. In other words I'm not surprised at the surge in cases over this winter not only due to the seasonal component of covid but also a new more contagious strain might be floating around in the US for awhile.

Slide towards central IL Ukie

Track is great.

This winter along with several recent ones lack of cold air available is a problem. Foraging and rationing of cold air is no way to have a successful winter. NAM depictions of WAA ruling the day will be the gorilla in the corner

Rantoul slammer

That stuff was cement sludge to shovel this morning. Back aching

Received 3.5"snow along with .3" ice. Golden

ZR here now

Sleeting here. Heavy sleet now pinging. Any chance this flips back over or is that it for the snow?

Not started yet. Will go 4" imby. The spirit of Jerry Taft lives on. Check that started snowing and is moderate already.

Not sure. Only models I see putting me in higher amts are UKMET and HRRR. Most others put heavier amts just NW

Quite the spread on the p&c from LOT. 3-5" far SE Mchenry Co to 4-8" NW.

Segway into a toasty January

Only 3-5" out by RFD under WSW. 2-4" in SE McHenry County

2-4" here maybe 3-5" by Rockford. Must be tossing that 18Z HRR into the waste basket

General population this fall

I've been purchasing a ticket everyday since Thanksgiving. Its about time to hit on a few numbers

After watching these model runs I've come to the conclusion that there's not enough cold air available for anything but marginal,thread the needle systems in recent winters. Receiving significant snow is like playing pick 4 lotto

At least the Euro has had a tendency to overamp solutions this winter

Ukie on board now interesting

Yeah the UKMET not on board with a closed low riding due north so weaker, SE, and OV not off the table

6Z GFS. Ukie more of an Apps runner

Concerned the phrase "thread the needle"is the norm for every system that develops this winter and far too many other winters recently.

The only certainty is those qpf snow numbers will undoubtedly diminish significantly as time progresses