Cary67

Hmm..must have saw that wrong. Thx

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there.

I think the ensembles are SE of the OP runs 

Definitely. Weaker less phased outcome seems likely given our trends with slide SE. Unless it's targeting MSP this year.

28 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

The outcome of this one will be very dependent on phasing and wave interaction.


.

Yikes 

53 minutes ago, weatherbo said:

Snow just starting here.  15-17" by 1 am looks good.  Have a commitment down in Negaunee for a portion of today.  My trek home this afternoon will be interesting.

Can you approximate how much of that is synoptic vs les?

Takes courage nowadays. 6Z GFS backed up at least

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

Omg it's gonna snow this weekend.

Near miss on Wed-Thurs system followed by cold push puts us in no mans land. Wonder if this CAD lasts longer than 12 days like December 

Beavis awaiting numbers eagerly...

36 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

12z Euro total snow Chicago maxes out at 1 inch

 

CMC shows a similar look. Euro seemed to be furthest NW initially with Thursdaysystem and now reflects suppressionof SER and miss to the SE

Long range NAM looks too far SE

If we get to Feb.15th without a decent snow(>3") would rather just see futility records roll out and mild air. 

17 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

Looks like the trend will need to be the same yet again where February/March are the golden winter months for N/NE IL in terms of snowfall.

Has March been a big cash in winter month for Chicago? 

Looking good for at least 1-3" when all this is done.

If the band shifts NW to MSP will believe it. Otherwise weakening SE track has 4 days (an eternity model time) to materialize.

54 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

Looking at the neighbors yard I’d say either golf course levels of fertilizer application or paint. 

Gotta appreciate the dedication to the bit. 

I'm heading up to Milwaukee to play some golf.

Would it be better if LOT'S official site for measuring snow was more representative of the entire metro area? (ie under less lake influence)  Keep MDW as the site for LES enhanced snows but move snow measuring out further west.

Hoping cold air shows up for Norgi ski jump event by end of the month. At least they can make snow.

59 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

SnOvechkin has risen up from out of nowhere.  Been here 8 years and is now posting.

Believe.....lol

3 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Aren't you near Chicago?  Last January and February were both colder than average, February 2021 was way colder than avg with near record snow depth in Chicago, and of course who can forget the record cold snap in 2019.  It just seems like when we go through a real shitty time like now, some memories are a little unfair to previous winters lol. 

Just NW of ORD toward RFD and MKE and a lot of southern WI did poorly snowfall wise last year. Chicago and just SE over towards DTW did well in a relatively short period of time. Some of it LES bail out for Chicago

19 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

i'm just going to put this right here for you...

No need to go to Europe for winter weather either.

For decent snow seasons you need consistent cold air and moisture. Our area has had neither. Those periods where they intersect seem to be trending briefer and less often with each passing year.