Cary67

7 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

Or for it to end up going back west a bit, Chicago usually has the magnet 

Would say Detroit more so than Chicago last several winters. Although when it does snow has favored southside of Chicago and LES bail out for downtown

Lol another 2 days of runs for this to move further SE and weaker.  Original 1-3" for NW burbs looking good

Not horrible

The only constant is the GFS volatility. With this being so close to the holidays not necessarily wanting a storm that shuts the place down through the weekend anyways. As mentioned before usual qpf trimming as event nears vs some of those runs last night likely.

2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

It's a battle between my excitement and knowing this is 4-5 days away.  This low, on the GFS, shifted from West Virginia to northeast Illinois in 24 hours.  A lot can and will happen this week.

I had this going SE. Still time.lol

15 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Waiting for the euro but hopeful for the classic “every model shifts southeast then baby steps northwest”. 

My guess is Euro will slide SE in future runs to meet GFS and CMC. It might tick back far enough NW to keep you and southside in the game. LES may bail out Alex and NW burbs get screwed again.

GEM went east also

20 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Euro taking the STL to South Bend Path, looks great for N IL/WI. 

Nice track for all the burbs

More concerned the big dog trending west is on the table eliminating clipper snows and bringing a close miss SE into play. LES from NE flow keeping Alex happy

Going with clipper system (1-3") that blows up SE of us or near the coast to give NE big snows. Only caveat is if it blows up close enough to give lake effect enhancement to usual suspects.

Seasonal snow totals so far.

If bored I could always start the unrealistic winter expectations thread. Point out our winters here really are pretty lame. Then have Michsnowfreak come to the rescue with his snow statistics that deny my argument and clearly demonstrate winters are indeed snowier(especially in his backyard)

1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said:

0z euro already backed off on magnitude of cold later next week.  12z run was nothing but a weenie run.  lol 0 in seattle and 20 in san fran.

Hopefully get some snow on the front end of this cold push next week. CAD looks in play unless clipper action comes through.

Ripping +SN currently

Flip over to wet snow mixed with rain. Big clumps starring to accumulate on driveway.

Latest HRRR run backing off on totals for northern burbs. Still think a slushy 1-2" on grass with a sloppy mix possible.

NWS just issued WWA for 2-4"for northern row of counties.

23 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

time 2 ride

 

1" on grassy surfaces in play

A wetter pattern for the Western Great Lakes region seems attainable.

1" here but southside wins again. Lakefront just a mixy mess

Almost November 

14 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Call it "the Alek"

Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald type storm. As far as synoptic snow systems go this seems fairly typical for November. Areas NW of LOT like MSP and even MSN get theirs first. Realistically start looking for snow possibilities 1st week of December. Assuming of course the La Nina forecasts of above normal precip for us are realized.

Most "normal" winters should include about 3-4 weeks of opportunities where the pattern lines up favorably for the lower Great Lakes. Usually get a heads up about a favorable pattern with nice analysis from RCNYILWX 

2 hours ago, Baum said:

A December to remember....again

And I was going to run the mower out of gas and bring out the snowblower. Guess there's plenty of time.