Cary67
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Posts posted by Cary67
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6 hours ago, Stebo said:
Yeah I think this has the potential to hit most of us. The 00z gfs and gem both have a nice everyone is a winner event. With the NAO/AO slightly negative and the pna slightly positive this favors a flatter pattern to slight eastern US troughing.
I remember long ago when it would snow at ORD but not DTW
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Grass topper season till Easter
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I would of thought the CMC and possibly the Ukie did the best from longer range with this system.
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8 minutes ago, Baum said:
forced into the medium range thread after another swift boot to the mid section. Oddly, it's much easier to overcome March disappointments than mid winter. Rumor is cold is on the table. Shocker.
Think March may have a couple more hits to the mid section. Ricky confirmed a -EPO setting up mid March along with a -NAO. Will probably translate to some CAD here with the OV and EC getting their chance vs MSP
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^No amount of "Lazerus" nowcasting is bringing this thing back to my area.
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19 minutes ago, Baum said:
as they say,"if the ships going down your going to come with me." post. Cary's congratulatory tone to those in the bullseyes was all BS. Every true snow weenie knows it.
Keep your friends close and your enemies even closer
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1 minute ago, Harry said:
So what your saying is GFS = Good For Shit?
Nah, in all honesty hope you guys in SEMI receive a thumping. Would be a terrible waste of tracking for everyone to be shut out
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18Z NAM( Not Always Michigan) model remains defiant
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1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:
The last few winters have been fine. Only this Winter has been crap. I would not call the winters of 2020-21 and 2021-22 ones with few meager opportunities. Hell, snow depths in February 2021 were 15" in Detroit, 18" in Toledo, and 21" in Chicago.
Definitely not arguing that it was a prolific Feb. in that ORD to DTW corridor. Again that corridor benefitted from some systems(one in particular) whose track not too dissimilar to the current one. Those snow amts and depths in the loop were aided by LES and pts just NW up through Madison were way below normal last year. I guess unless Decembers make a come back I think you've been fortunate to rely on February or March's to make up the gap. It's happened in your area but as this year showed Feb didn't bail you out. Just wonder in the long run if Decembers stay in the crapper and if the durations of cold air are less frequent how long does that run for DTW hold on?
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I think Alek is right. We may be transitioning to more of a central IL/St. Louis winter climo. The events become more marginal temp wise in nature,with more thread the needle set ups, and increasingly narrow windows of winter like weather. Over the last few years what's amazing is DTW's knack to cash in on whatever meager opportunities present themselves. The UP and MSP benefit in not on increasing temps but increasing moisture as winter retreats northward
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O.5" call may bust high
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Beautiful day yesterday. Only 45 days or so till we start to stack these type of days together for longer stretches
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3 minutes ago, Malacka11 said:
If the GFS crushes Chicago this next run you guys all have to zelle me $5.
Thinking NW LOT is done
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NAM loves dramatic shifts within this time frame
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First call 0.5"
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Nope that's it may settle a bit further SE. Cutters affecting this area hit southside-IKK to DTW. Have been for several yrs now. Keeps Michsnowfreak padding those stats in SEMI
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March 9-10 Winter Storm
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
2.5" 1st call. 48hrs for models to dessicate further. Grass blades reluctant to be covered this year.