clskinsfan

Nah. I am going early on purpose to see it. I wasnt gonna leave until noon. But I moved up my plans.

Ophelia is looking much better right now. LP is under the heaviest convection. Still some time for her to strengthen as well.

Looks like that is happening as we speak.

Agreed. Has some time to strengthen some. And she is looking much more robust now.

Heading to Norfolk at 6AM tomorrow morning. Should be there by 10 or so. I cruise out of Norfolk to Bermuda on Sunday. Probably gonna be a bumpy on the way out. Looking forward to it.

I am on a cruise out of Norfolk next weekend. So I have been looking at the Northern Hemisphere maps for weeks. And yes I am a weenie as you all know. But after watching it for weeks one thing looks clear to me. We will have bombs running up the coast this year. Doesnt mean DC (the city) has a good winter. But we are all going to have chances this winter. I would bet my lifes savings on it. And once again, I am a weenie. But just go back and look at the flow over the past month. Stuff is going to want to come up the coast all winter long....Whatever just drunk posting.

It has rained 6 times since May 1st at my house. Think about that.

I am praying the GFS is out to lunch. I am cruising out of Norfolk on the 24th to Bermuda. If it turns out right my vacation is over.

I would actually bet a ton that we end up above normal this year. With the base state we live in Nino's are probably our best shot. Bombs are probably the best way to score going forward. And we all know that nino's give us bombs. Could be wrong. Wouldnt be the first time. But that is where I am at right now. And if we cant score in a nino than we are probably done for good. Because the base state here is a clown show.

Pulley ridge Buoy, about 60 miles from the center has around 20 wave heights and 86 degree water temps. No wind measurements on that buoy. https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42097

The main thread is annoying. I will stay here and post with my sub friends. The western part of the storm seems to be firing up right now. I dont think the hunters flew through the western eye wall. But shw is clearly trying to get her act together. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-13-96-1-25-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

I would think that by the time we get to I most years we are at the peak of the tropical season. So probably not surprising that I's tend to be mature storms more often?

Franklin is a gorgeous storm.

Man I hope you are right Bob. The past few years have changed everything I think about winters here. We will see I guess. By the way. Nice to see some action picking up here. Winter is coming.

No. But I think the base state has changed quite a bit in the past 20+ years. Especially south of 40. I will take a Nino every single time. Because it almost always ends up above normal snow here. But that usually comes from bombs. And it may be that is the only way we get snow anymore down here.

I am not lucky enough to keep them from getting diseased here. I get a couple of rounds out of cucumber plants and they look like crap. I just pull them up and replant. They grow fast enough. Usually 50-60 days and you have more than you can eat.

You probably still have time to do another round of cucumbers as well. I just planted some last week.

tomatoes are amazing this year. I planted 40 plants this year and have canned tons of sauce, salsa and stewed. They love dry weather. And are sweet as can be this year. Everything else is just about dead in my garden.

Hopefully this upgrade goes better than the last one. The last upgrade actually ended up degrading the Euro in the long range imo.

97-98 was front loaded if I remember correctly. I didn't save totals then. But we had snow here before Christmas. And a few other storms in January if my records are correct. Was definitely the worst as far as ninos go. But I will take ANYTHING other than the endless Nina hell we have been in for most of the decade.

Don't really see a problem with that. Peaking in October is probably best case for us down here.

I would. Every single Nino has been above average here In the last 30 years. Not a wall to wall winter. But above average because we get slammed with coastals. Now close to ocean I get it. But I am ecstatic about what I am seeing.

Sitting on the deck just loving this evening. Everything has greened up beautifully. Temp is amazing. Just perfect.

I have not even turned mine on this year. Have no idea if it even works. But yeah. Out here in the valley has been downright cold in the evenings. Garden is loving it surprisingly. Tomatoes usually like a little warmth. But mine are doing great so far.

Wont hear me say it often. But thank god it is raining in the Winchester area. We need it so bad.