clskinsfan
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Everything posted by clskinsfan
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Yeah. It is strengthening that backside potential on each run. But the hopes of an all snow bomb to the west is pretty much over. I won't be making fun of the NAM again anytime soon. It was the first to pick out the realistic amount of ice out this way.
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Great map. 4-8 through the Shen Valley is a smart call. We are going to end up getting more ice than some think.
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The RGEM really bumped up the ice totals out this way as well. Lucy has spoken again.
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The Euro and gfs last night had a pretty robust band Monday morning as well. Would be nice to put a fresh inch on top of the frozen slop.
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Gfs has the best surface low pass yet and somehow it dropped western snow totals. Maybe it's starting to get a better idea about upper air temps.
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That is a catastrophic ice storm out here as modeled. .4 qpf and the surface never goes above freezing.
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The surface low actually went SE a good bit at 6Z Monday from the 18Z run. Closer to the Euro and GFS this run in that regard.
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What a beast on the NAM. Yucatan express of moisture.
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I am nowhere near ready to make any kind of call. The models have consistently bullseyed me for 3 days. The Lucy rug pull could be right around the corner.
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RGEM drives into central VA at the end of its run. 2-5 for pretty much everyone before the ice takes over.
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Agree. If its not sleeting during that sounding than it will be shortly. But with a sounding like that the previous half hour was probably an epic snow dump. And I also agree that our elevation helps some.
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All while watching NFL playoffs. Well as long as the power stays on.
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The Euro is actually wetter than the GFS. But they are very similar.
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For NOVA and DC it does. Maybe another inch or 2 on the backside Monday morning.
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We could end up going over to plain old rain as well with a west shift. Nothing is off the table at this point. I am feeling good about the Euro and GFS being almost identical at this point though.
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Pummeled. Gotta ride the edge to get the best goods.
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SMOKED! GFS is consistent for us western folks. Gets close for an hour or so. But all snow out here. Nice wrap around band for NOVA and DC like the EURO had.
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I mean if I was gonna pick a mountain to die on it certainly wouldnt be the NAM.
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Yeah. It was pretty clear it was a sleet bomb for the Shen Valley. I would be fine with 3 inches of snow followed by 3 inches of sleet. It would keep the ground white for a long while at least.
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Pretty historic SE ice storm if its legit:
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A foot for Nashville and .2 for DCA. Nice run.
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You will. And quite a bit would be my guess.
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Haha. Top 5 classic list for sure.
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No I dont. But there is a clear warm nose at 850 and 925 this run. Could be snow I suppose.
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Some wrap around love for NOVA?
