clskinsfan

Im not gonna complain. That burst already whitened my ground and trees. At least I know they will be covered for the next couple of days.

Yeah. Its pixie dust. The reason the models want to give me 2 inches in 40 hours.

The NAM already busted out here. moderate snow 33 degrees

Legit light snow now NE of Winchester. Always love seeing snow fall on snowpack. F it. I am going to get what I get at this point. I am going to grill some barbecue chicken in this.

I can't believe Ji hasn't come in here and proclaimed the NAM a disaster yet. Of all the runs that deserve it. This is the one.

34 and flurries on the south side of Winchester where I am working today.

As hard as the Euro caved it is still way better than the NAM for nova and DC. 3-6 would be a mega win IMO. Although I have no idea how you can believe anything that model says right now. It has been atrocious. Period. Been outside working for a couple of hours. 33 and some flurries around.

GEFS look tasty for late next week.

12 GFS Cobb data for first wave: DCA: 210211/0100Z 13 11006KT 33.0F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 75| 0| 25 210211/0200Z 14 12005KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.03 71| 0| 29 210211/0300Z 15 12007KT 33.3F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 49| 23| 28 210211/0400Z 16 12004KT 33.7F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.024 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 45| 0| 55 210211/0500Z 17 14005KT 34.1F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.039 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.10 37| 0| 63 210211/0600Z 18 15007KT 34.4F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.012 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.11 0| 0|100 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210211/0700Z 19 16006KT 34.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.018 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.13 0| 0|100 210211/0800Z 20 16005KT 33.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.036 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.16 0| 0|100 210211/0900Z 21 16003KT 33.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19 0| 0|100 210211/1000Z 22 VRB02KT 34.2F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.21 0| 0|100 210211/1100Z 23 VRB00KT 34.8F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.21 0| 0|100 BWI: 210211/0100Z 13 09005KT 31.2F SNOW 6:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.009 6:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0 210211/0200Z 14 08006KT 31.0F SNOW 6:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.03 100| 0| 0 210211/0300Z 15 09007KT 30.8F SNOW 12:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.032 9:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.06 100| 0| 0 210211/0400Z 16 09007KT 31.2F SNOW 6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.025 8:1| 0.7|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 100| 0| 0 210211/0500Z 17 11007KT 31.7F SNOW 5:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.065 7:1| 1.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.15 100| 0| 0 210211/0600Z 18 12008KT 31.9F SNOW 6:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.040 7:1| 1.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.19 100| 0| 0 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210211/0700Z 19 11007KT 32.1F SNPL 3:1| 0.1|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.030 6:1| 1.4|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.22 85| 15| 0 210211/0800Z 20 12005KT 31.9F SNZRPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.03|| 0.01|| 0.029 6:1| 1.4|| 0.04|| 0.01|| 0.25 22| 30| 48 210211/0900Z 21 11003KT 32.1F SNOW 12:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028 7:1| 1.7|| 0.04|| 0.01|| 0.28 100| 0| 0 210211/1000Z 22 08004KT 32.3F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.042 7:1| 1.7|| 0.04|| 0.01|| 0.32 0| 0|100 210211/1100Z 23 03003KT 32.1F SNZRPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.02|| 0.00|| 0.013 7:1| 1.7|| 0.06|| 0.01|| 0.34 46| 25| 29 210211/1200Z 24 03005KT 30.6F SNPL 1:1| 0.0|| 0.01|| 0.00|| 0.006 7:1| 1.7|| 0.07|| 0.01|| 0.34 27| 73| 0 IAD: 210210/2300Z 11 13004KT 33.7F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.015 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 59| 0| 41 210211/0000Z 12 15006KT 33.7F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.035 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.05 57| 0| 43 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210211/0100Z 13 13006KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.031 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.08 74| 0| 26 210211/0200Z 14 12007KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.010 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.09 74| 0| 26 210211/0300Z 15 13008KT 33.2F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.031 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.12 73| 0| 27 210211/0400Z 16 14007KT 32.6F RASN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.057 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 81| 0| 19 210211/0500Z 17 15007KT 33.5F SNRAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.022 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.20 25| 58| 17 210211/0600Z 18 16007KT 33.9F RAPL 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.026 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.23 2| 50| 48 ----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+--- 210211/0700Z 19 16006KT 33.7F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.031 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.26 0| 0|100 210211/0800Z 20 16006KT 33.5F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.035 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.29 0| 0|100 210211/0900Z 21 19004KT 33.9F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.020 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.31 0| 0|100 210211/1000Z 22 VRB02KT 34.2F 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.31 0| 0| 0 210211/1100Z 23 VRB02KT 34.1F RAIN 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.007 0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.32 0| 0|100

The UK is better for the DC area. A little colder at least.

I do a lot of bitching and moaning when a storm fails for my area. But it is mostly in jest. I am 4 inches from climo this winter. I have nothing to complain about. It appears to me that the changing climo is effecting the coastal plain much more than our areas. While elevation has always been an advantage for us, I am wondering if it will become an even bigger advantage as we move further out in time.

CMC joins the NAM train. Lets see those of us in NOVA have the RAP, WRF and PARA on our side. #winning

The ICON is so close to a crush job on Tuesday/Wednesday. Verbatim it is a lot of ice in the Winchester area I suppose.

I am going to the beach permanently very soon. This hobby is going to give me a heart attack. At least there I wont really have to ever track anymore.

Didnt even see it. But I will hug it until it ultimately caves as well.

The storm starts in 8 hours here. IT IS OVER.

Yeah. I cant wait to see his second call map.

The models did fine. They had the overall pattern locked in a week ago.

The GFS gives NOVA and DC some pity flakes on Friday. What an incredible flooded dumpster fire this turned into.

GFS caved to the NAM. 850's blast north. Congrats PSU. This hobby sucks.

I am hugging the RAP. It looks GFS like with wave 1. Mostly cloudy 32/27

I am never sweating the Euro again. It got schooled again with tonight and the Friday event by the American models. The NAM is a serious sleet bomb for Saturday. .5 QPF as sleet for just about all of us. I have no idea what that would work out to in depth?

The NAM hasn't verified yet. And there are major differences from the GFS. Especially out this way.. The GFS appears it will be the winner with the Central VA snow hole though.

It's an imby sport. And I would be happy if I was up there as well. Nice storm on the NAM for ya'll.

It's pretty bad brother. We get a half inch of snow while Frederick gets 5.