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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. RGEM tons colder than the NAM heading into the event. That's all I'm going to raje away from it. No use even looking at precip panels.
  2. We really don't want slower though. We need the precip to come while that confluence is still in the game. But I am not going to lose my shit over a NAM run.
  3. Onset surface temp of 13 out this way. That is quite a bit warmer than earlier guidance. We basically still have no idea whats going to happen.
  4. The gfs was doing that with its total fails a couple of days ago. It looks like this is going to cut no matter what. May as well hope for an organized precip bomb to maximize the thump.
  5. Onset is close enough to use the Meso's for thermals at the start of the storm. I am curious if some of us can start in the single digits at the surface.
  6. It depends what impresses you about winter storms. I had 8 inches last February that was gone in 12 hours. The extended arctic outbreak that is coming with this one is going to be very impressive. We are going to have glaciers around for a month at least. And we are really just now in our prime snow climo for this area. My gut tells me we will get hit again and have snow on snow.
  7. The sleet is going to make whatever falls stick around for while with the bitter cold to follow.
  8. First test for a new state admin as well. We'll see how it goes.
  9. Euro is definitely colder up top than the AI. Holds on at 700 quite a bit longer.
  10. Yep. We need it to jump at the Carolina coast or we are toast on the coastal part. It's becoming all about the thump at this point.
  11. I dont think you have to worry about that. I think 6+ is a lock for everyone. The cold with this is legit. Gonna take some time to scour it out.
  12. AI is probably 15 inches out here before the flip. For those out this way. The sleet is going to be heavy. A compacted glacier is coming.
  13. AI a touch slower with onset. Comes in hard. Rough guessing 12 hours of snow before the flip. Pretty heavy sleet after that.
  14. Thanks for this. It is pretty similar at 700. But very different at 500 and the surface. Really good info on that site. Appreciate it.
  15. I agree. We are going to flip last. Concerned about the glacier that is coming after the snow though. It's going to be a mess.
  16. I like to stack up my driveway walls as the storm happens. Plus I just like being out in the snow. Especially when it is going to be 10 degrees while its coming down.
  17. This is evolving into a sleet bomb pretty quickly. Does anyone know of a comparable storm to what is being modeled? I cant find one.
  18. Just ran to the grocery store. It was complete madness. All I really needed was beer and hot dog buns ffs. Picked up 2 six packs of New Belgium trippel. Gonna be tuned up on Sunday watching the the snow dump and Championship Games. I imagine my shoveling skills are going to deteriorate about as fast as the roads out here.
  19. Which probably means you wouldn't get it until Thursday with the way the roads are going to be.
  20. Yeah. I have a hard time believing we are going to hit negative teens out here. But does it really matter when your temps are near zero anyways? Brutal cold regardless.
  21. Come on out brother. Would love to have you! Do you know how to use a snow shovel?
  22. I hope so for Richmonds sake. Low 20 degree temps during that too. It is bad news as modeled for them.
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