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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. clskinsfan
    Its probably a pretty decent sign that both the Euro and GFS have a nice 500 pass to our south in that timeframe though.
  2. clskinsfan
    Yeah. That thing is a monster. Would probably see a wind driven squall at least.
  3. clskinsfan
    Fringed. What else is new.
  4. clskinsfan
    Merry Christmas everyone. May your sugar plums not melt today. http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/12/yb.gif
  5. clskinsfan
    That's pretty much white flag language Yep. Ji. I think we are in pretty deep trouble brother. Been wrong before. And will be wrong again. But I would bet my life savings right now that we go WAY under climo. It is what it is.
  6. clskinsfan
    Basically a pray for timing winter. We do so well in those. Merry Christmas all. Snow is great. But it means nothing in the grand scheme of life. Enjoy the time with your family everyone.
  7. clskinsfan
    This. We are probably in a lot of trouble. No Aleutian low for the entire winter is a death nail IMO.
  8. clskinsfan
    Yeah. that is probably pretty much winter over if it is right.
  9. clskinsfan
    We live in a different universe than those to the east when it comes to snowfall. It is what it is.
  10. clskinsfan
    Nothing better than Speedo's on Christmas morning friend.
  11. clskinsfan
    sorry wrong thread
  12. clskinsfan
    On the bright side for next winter. Without an Aleutian low this winter we are much more likely to get a nino next year. I am not tossing this winter yet. But the Pac is ugly. And I am not seeing how that is going to break down anytime soon. https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/8/jcli-d-19-0717.1.xml
  13. clskinsfan
    Going into 8 in January broke the computer. If it does make it into 8 the MJO forecast from a month ago would be spot on. So kudo's to that.
  14. clskinsfan
    Yeah. I have been watching the models wanting to cut everything in the long range. And we can actually score some snow with some entrenched cold air in those events. A front end thump followed by a dryslot. We have had multiple 6+ inch events out this way in the past decade from that. Including last February.
  15. clskinsfan
    Yeah. I hope that isnt going to be trend this winter. We have seen that happen far too often.
  16. clskinsfan
    MJO enters 8 on Christmas day. Merry Christmas! http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member.gif
  17. clskinsfan
    Agree. Terrifying. Pitch black with the power out and then you see the monster in lightning flashes. That guy has a huge set of huevos.
  18. clskinsfan
  19. clskinsfan
    My wife was just up at Longwood last weekend with my mom and sister in law. She said it was pretty amazing. We were at Butchart Gardens a couple of years ago in BC and it is the most amazing garden we have ever seen. If you ever have a chance to go there do it. We were lucky enough to catch it on an Alaskan cruise. Here are some pics of Longwood she took last weekend:
  20. clskinsfan
    Horrifying images out of that region. Prayers for all effected.
  21. clskinsfan
    My thoughts and prayers go out to the people of your region. Stay strong.
  22. clskinsfan
    That is obviously possible. But I like the AO and NAO forecast on top of the MJO. I cant remember What the forecast was for those in 2020 though.
  23. clskinsfan
    That is actually better for us. We want 8 into January. It is game on if that happens. And yes. I know the MJO can and has failed for us. But I am loving the amplitude into 7 from 6. Give me that with a tanking AO and a NAO that is at least neutral and I will take my chances. Yes. I live in place that likes to snow. But what I am seeing forecast in the LR looks like weenie heaven for the majority of us.
  24. clskinsfan
    I agree with this. With how amped into 7 it is supposed to get 8 seems like almost a sure thing.
  25. clskinsfan
    The Euro was locked in 4 days ago. You cant ask for much more out of a weather model IMO.
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