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clskinsfan

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Everything posted by clskinsfan

  1. I think you are trying to break out BECS. But those dont seem to exist anymore south of 40. It appears the rumors of the death of king Euro were premature once again.
  2. That second map reminds me of 2010. Something brewing on the southern jet off the coast of Baja as well. Tasty looking map.
  3. Hi res Euro looks like the Rgem. East of the Blue Ridge for any precip.
  4. Nobody mentioned the ICON but it is similar to the GFS. A little less amped though. UKie is ugly. maybe a half inch up around Baltimore.
  5. The RGEM was horrid last winter for sure. I dont trust any of them. Was just making an observation.
  6. 12Z RGEM not bad for you guys to the east. Maybe an inch east of the Blue Ridge. Sucks out this way though.
  7. GFS still has the storm riding up the boundary next weekend. Something to watch at least.
  8. We are going to get pretty amped into 7. I will be shocked if we dont make it to 8 in late Dec early Jan at this point. If we can keep some blocking north of us and keep the AO at least neutral I will take my chances.
  9. Was mentioning this a couple of days ago. I am liking that mid December period for a chance. Not just the MJO but the AO and NAO as well. Obviously not prime climo for us. Even me out here. But we have a chance.
  10. Its a shame he did because he might have reaped his earliest souls this year. I am fine with losing December if we can get the pattern to flip heading into prime climo. But I am not giving up on December either at this point. The MJO forecast is pretty good with some solid amplification into phase 7 by mid December. With the possibility of heading into 8 in late December. The AO and NAO are also both forecast to head to at least neutral if not slightly negative in that same timeframe.
  11. While visions of Superstorms danced in their heads.
  12. Long day at work. And late reporting but had a dusting this morning just NW of WInchester. First measurable this year is actually a couple of weeks later than usual. Currently 34/28 under a high wind watch. ...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...West to northwest winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph possible. * WHERE...Along and east of ridgelines between the Allegheny Front and Interstate 81.
  13. latest HRRR liking the Winchester area for some light accumulation tonight. This snow starved weenie would like to see it.
  14. I think we have a Chance to steal a little accumulation tonight. I have only seen flakes once so far just a little east of you.
  15. Yep. And once again it appears the cold air will trapped on the other side of the hemisphere early this winter. I hope that isnt a sign of things to come in the future.
  16. may as well keep having fun. I am not seeing a "storm mode" in our near future.
  17. Down to 23 this morning. Feels great out.
  18. The blocking looks to hold on through mid Dec at least. None of us are getting buried the next 4 weeks. But I think snow is coming for the favored areas. Now give me a weenie.
  19. Not really. COD could be acceptable now. But no amplification is not a good thing heading into Dec.
  20. Would rather have that in November than late DEC/early JAN. I will take a front end chance with losing the rest of Nov and early DEC for a flip into late DCE early Jan every time.
  21. It was a DC Bullseye. Check out Sue Palka in this vid. Crazy she has been doing it that long,.
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