Weather Will

Was on the back edge. .16 fell with the sun out.

.03 from a pop up shower while the sun was out.

WB 12Z ensemble tracks from the GFS, EURO, and Canadian. Most members well off the coast.

Go to Greenland...

WB 18Z GEFS is still off the coast. As long as the trough along the east coast has a positive tilt, it is not coming ashore.

WB 18Z ICON is west of 12Z and high pressure is holding to the North.

WB 12Z EPS did tick westward at 12Z compared to 0Z.

It is raining!!!!!

Hope that rain makes it. Has not rained in weeks in my backyard....

WB OZ ensemble tracks from the major models continue to keep Erin well off the coast.

Dry weather continues on the latest WB EURO weeklies for the foreseeable future.

If there were a record for the number of cloudy days during the summer with no rain we would break it easily this year...

WB 0Z ensemble tracks.

WB 12Z Erin ensemble runs.

Farmer's Almanac winter forecast: Lock it in!

WB 0Z EPS tracks. Mean east of Bermuda, well east of the coast.

WB 0Z NBM, can't make this stuff up at Day 7. Back to the dust bowl.

WB 18Z GEFS and EPS keep beneficial rains for most to our south through Day 6.

WB 18Z GFS. No rain next 7 days.

NHC Special Weather Statement: NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 935 AM EDT Sun Aug 10 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Special outlook issued to update discussion of the disturbance located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands (AL97). Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97): Updated: Recently received satellite-derived wind data indicate that a well-defined low pressure system has formed about midway between the west coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands with maximum winds of about 35 mph. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity still lacks some organization, only a small increase in the organization could lead to the formation of a tropical depression before the low moves near or across the Cabo Verde Islands tonight and on Monday. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible today and Monday across the Cabo Verde Islands, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. Even if a tropical depression does not form over the next day or so, environmental conditions appear conducive for later development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle to latter portion of this week while moving west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

WB 0Z ensembles in 12 days at 6Z Friday 22nd: GEFS a fish storm. EPS has a few members taking a more southern route. AI is on to something or got drunk last night and has members from Texas to Mid Atlantic.

Still over 10 days out, but interesting to see the GFS and AI so close at Day 12-300 hrs. (18Z WB)

12Z EPS probs thru Day 10 keep it off the coast.

WB 0Z ensemble low locations at 0Z Friday.

WB 0Z EPS tropical storm and hurricane probabilities through day 10.