
Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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Digital blue at WB Day 15 is back on 6Z GFS....let the games begin!
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Lived in the eastern suburbs in 1993. Remember ice skating in my backyard. It was fun.
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MJO finally moving into Phase 8 by the 15th.
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The days are getting longer and the sun is getting stronger, but the H5 anomalies say hold on a little longer; will it snow before the daffodils grow, only God really knows.... no snow maps today:)
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WB 18Z GEFS way to go but 2 big hits for the 15th.
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WB 18Z GEFS.... this is better.
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I will go away after this post: there were several experts that predicted a lull. Lull was expected to end as early as the 10th. 13-15 seems to be locking in; great forecasting. Gives us a few weeks to score before the calendar catches up with us. Hopefully it works out.
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For example, latest WB 12Z EPS weekly control has a snow storm 19-20.
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The point I am unsuccessfully trying to make is that between next weekend and the 15th we should have a discrete threat.
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The snow means are horrible the next 15 days on all the ensembles. I guess we need "wave breaks" and cooling for our last gasp of winter. Hope to see an uptick by next weekend. WB 12Z EPS.
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Tuesday is dead as a door nail.
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I think in two weeks we would take a Miller Z if it means a snow storm. I am not panicked but cautiously optimistic that the last 4-5 weeks (mid February to mid March) of the winter season will deliver. The 3rd week of January's well forecasted H5 pattern gave me 10 inches; if I get another 10 plus inches it will be a "B" winter for me. If we get a wind whipped foot or more storm out of the upcoming pattern, winter 23-24 will get an "A" from me.
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WB 0Z GEFS and EPS continue to have a good look in two weeks...
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WB 0Z EURO control has it too....only two weeks away....
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Light snow flurry activity on way to train this am. Perfect way to start hump day...
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 12Z EPS for the 13th. I am not counting them, but will be watching the number of blue members as we get toward mid February. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB AI Spire at 12Z. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I hope the 14th holds, about the time MJO should be heading into 8.... -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
February 14, what year???? A little levity is needed in this forum. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 12Z CMC 2 in 20 chance. -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 12Z GEFS, our one in 30 chance.... -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
JB is now talking about a delay while the MJO goes through 7. Still thinks we get there but after the 10th now. -
Pretty disastrous, no snow in the next two weeks, and the east coast is a torch on the 13th. Looks like we punt the first half of February.
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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 6Z GEFS -
Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3
Weather Will replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
WB 6Z GFS last comparison to yesterday.