Weather Will

WB OZ EURO precipitation for the weekend.

WB Joe D'Aleo has a recent post which talks about the warm water currently east of Japan due to underwater volcanic activity. States IF this were to move into the NE Pacific could have big influence on the winter forecast.....Colder and stormier for us. I guess this gives us a little hope for the upcoming winter.

WB 12Z GFS, dry work/ beach week ahead....next chance of rain on Saturday.

As advertised, September like mornings coming! Below, WB 3K NAM for Tuesday. Enjoy!!!

Light sprinkles, another gloomy summer day....edit: heavier shower moving through...everything is wet!

.05 so far with light rain. I will take it after cutting the lawn.

Seems like more cloudy days than usual this summer with rain trying to move in from the west.

Latest WB weeklies now go through August....extreme heat stays out west....

Heat advisory expanded N and W... Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Northwest Montgomery- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- 840 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025 ...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Heat index values around 105 expected. * WHERE...Portions of central, north central, and northern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...Until 8 PM EDT this evening. * IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses.

Instead of a storm warning it should be a high water bill warning. .03.

Here we go again.... District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard- Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford-Southeast Harford- Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1206 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, and portions of Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford and Southern Baltimore, and Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northwest Prince William, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From 5 PM EDT this afternoon through this evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Showers and thunderstorms will track across the area late this afternoon into this evening. Storms will be capable of producing very heavy rainfall, with 1 to 3 inches possible in an hour where stationary cells or multiple rounds occur. Widespread rainfall totals near an inch are expected, with localized maxes of 2-4 inches.

630 PM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Central Anne Arundel County in central Maryland... * Until 645 PM EDT. * At 630 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Odenton, or over Crofton, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Crofton and Odenton around 635 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Herald Harbor and Crownsville.

There was discussion that the storm could initialize further east, my only beef is that they should trim the flood watch in the NW zones unless they think more will form.

.01....

Wondering if they could create a new category like "isolated flood advisory" which would be for potential of isolated flood warning/ flood emergency events. Save the flood watches for the potential of widespread flood warning events. Otherwise, everyone is going to start ignoring these watches.

WB 12Z EPS TD probs thru Day 4.

Just light rain.

WB 16Z HRRR at 6pm-9pm.

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Flash flooding caused by excessive rainfall is possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, including the following , District of Columbia, Maryland, including the following areas, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Cecil, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick MD, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore and St. Marys, and Virginia, including the following areas, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northwest Prince William, Orange, Rappahannock, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford and Western Loudoun. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday evening. * IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations. Creeks and streams may rise out of their banks. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - Numerous showers and thunderstorms will move across the area Wednesday afternoon and evening. Rainfall rates of up to 2 inches per hour are possible, which may lead to scattered instances of flash flooding where the heavy rain persists the longest.

Yes....I got about .25, already over here; nothing like last week here.

Torrential Tuesday rain again this week.....

WB 18Z 3K NAM, hopefully more widespread chances for thunderstorms tomorrow west to east starting around 3pm.

Sunny and hot here after some overcast skies at midday.

Sprinkler watch in effect for western zones.

WB 18Z GFS. Everyone in the rain action by COB Wed. Some heavy totals. Stay safe everyone....