Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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There are no models bringing anything but white rain inside the Beltways and/or 95 east. RGEM and GFS seem more bullish than EURO and NAM for NW areas. Fun to track. Not a big event for anyone but if NW areas see 2 inches on the grass would take it in a minute. I have to make up for the first 50 years of my life in the DMV when I was always in the white rain zone!
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I would take it in a minute!
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6z GFS. Kuchera WB. My take as of now is that since day before will be in the 60s and sUrface temps Wed morning just around freezing NW of DC, BA, this will be white rain inside the Beltways, and a grass coverer if we are lucky NW.
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There seems to be an interesting dynamic going on in the form this year or tension since so many have called for s torch in December and that may or may not verify. To be fair, I have not heard or seen anyone calling for a snowy December so expectations should be very low. Would take the 18Z EURO in a heartbeat.
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Average snowfall at DCA is only about an inch. Before Thanksgiving everyone was talking about the torchy December. I think most people would not bet the ranch on under an Inch today.
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Clown map Kuchera 6zGFS WB through next weekend. Would be great if we reach the total snowfall most long range forecasters are predicting for DC by mid December. I love the pattern. If not this one, I think it will be fun this winter. Lots of potential. We just need a little luck which no model or forecaster knows how to calculate. That is one reason why this hobby is so fun.
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15 day EPS snow mean is 2 inches from NW DC line Northward. About 20 percent of the individual members look good as well with a couple happy hour homeruns thrown in.....lets see if this is a trend starter or a head fake but best look I have seen this year.
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May the force be with us!
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Quick look at the 6z and not sure why there is so much negativity. It is not going to be much above normal the next two weeks, there is a lot if cold air lurking to the North, and most importantly to me an active storm track. Any snow In December is bonus snow...let it play out!
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So on my train ride to DC from Brunswick, Point of Rocks the ground is white. Barnesville the ground is patchy white dusting at best. Nothing in Germantown, south.
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About 2 inches of slop in Brunswick. Shoveled last night and now a thin layer of ice in everything. Careful walking in Frederick area this am!
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Mixed with sleet again in Brunswick. Messy icy mix
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Patience not one of my virtues, but it is turned into a winter wonderland in Brunswick....everything snow covered. Maybe couple of inches now. I am happy.
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Perhaps an expert can explain it, but it appears the horrible severe weather in the south is robbing us of the ripping rates necessary for any kind of a winter storm here....
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In last 15 minutes, everything but streets now have light dusting, 36, Brunswick
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Light snow, 37. Finally tiny pellets of ice on mulch. Brunswick
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Light white rain falling, not sticking to anything, 38, Brunswick
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Flurries, 39, Brunswick
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It is going to take ripping rates between the toasty temps and solar radiation to be any kind of road issues. It should be pretty though...not picky in March!
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Flurries in Brunswick.
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3k NAM 12z. It very accurately predicted last nights no show snow. I would hug it and hope
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3k looks a tick South, but still looks to be 6-10 inch event for NW VA, Frederick, northern Montgomery, Western Howard, Carroll, North Balt County NE, does not look like the cities get much...
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Looks like snow from 10am until about 1 am Mon. in 3k. Mostly snow Frederick, extreme northern Mont., western Howard, north and northeastward.
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I meant weather man expert..
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Could a man expert chime in here? 12k looks sheared or has a double center going on after ;8 hours. Precip shield looks weird or am I just tired?
