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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. 0z EPS says move on to other things for the next 2 weeks if you want snow.
  2. 18z WB EPS has about 25 percent of Its members with snow east and north of the mountains for the weekend storm. It is an improvement over 12z.
  3. GFS 18z too far North. There are still a few 12z EPS members to give the NW suburbs a little hope, about 10 percent. But better than 0 so I will keep a quarter of an eye on it.
  4. WB EURO at 12z looks like an improvement over 0z but still rain. 100-150 miles is doable over 5 days. At least it is something to track other than a torch.
  5. WB 6Z EPS...3 inch or more probability. There are a few we would all hug but still an uphill battle .
  6. 6z WB GFS for this weekend. (Only 10 percent GEFS support). Will we finally get a storm that will trend in the right direction?
  7. About 20 percent of 0z WBEPS members show snow for the far Northwest suburbs... let’s see if this is the start of a trend or a blip. Looks like we got some tracking. The chill storm looks promising. The weekend storm is a matter of a super lucky placement of that 500mb
  8. GEFS 18z Hug the 5 percent chance for next weekend in P20.
  9. I like the probability maps because they are useful in seeing trends when viewed over several runs. I use the 3 inch or more to get rid of the noise of the members showing a dusting. The reality is that there is 0 percent chance of snow before next weekend. No map of any kind will change that reality.
  10. WB GEFS 12z. Most if this 3 inch or more probability is after DAY 7 in DMV.
  11. It is only one run, but the ICON was never a fan of this weekend’s storm, so this makes me take notice.
  12. Thanks for the positive vibe. We need it. Perhaps the mood will improve with a wintry scene tomorrow.
  13. Unfortunately, this suns up the the long range rather sadly. 18Z GFS WB prob of 3 inches or more thru DAY forever (16)
  14. WB EPS Probability of 3 inches or more. For DMV, EPS says we wait until the end of the month for our next bout of winter precip after this weekend.
  15. I have been thinking about this....The first big storm I remember is 1978, when I was 10. Going years without a big snowstorm is nothing new around here. 09-10 was a miracle.
  16. Seems that way. I like the probability maps because it helps me to see if there are any trends developing Or not as the case this winter for DMV snow threat.
  17. 0z EPS probability of 3 inches or more. Most of the probability in DMV is associated with days 10-15.
  18. EPS WB 12Z Probability of 3 inches or More Through the 30th.....not very impressive yet.
  19. GEFS WB Probabilities of 3 inches or more through the following weekend. Most of this potential in the DMV is the result of the potential for a storm as depicted for NEXT weekend.
  20. GEFS WB 6Z Probabilities of snowfall 3 inches or more. Small percentages for this weekend and more optimistic next weekend and beyond compared to EPS.
  21. 0z EPS WB Probability of 3 inches or more....pretty bad and the crumbs are Day 11-15.
  22. EPS isn't seeing much snow chances until the last week of January on this run.
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