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Weather Will

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Everything posted by Weather Will

  1. GFS 18z too far North. There are still a few 12z EPS members to give the NW suburbs a little hope, about 10 percent. But better than 0 so I will keep a quarter of an eye on it.
  2. WB EURO at 12z looks like an improvement over 0z but still rain. 100-150 miles is doable over 5 days. At least it is something to track other than a torch.
  3. WB 6Z EPS...3 inch or more probability. There are a few we would all hug but still an uphill battle .
  4. 6z WB GFS for this weekend. (Only 10 percent GEFS support). Will we finally get a storm that will trend in the right direction?
  5. About 20 percent of 0z WBEPS members show snow for the far Northwest suburbs... let’s see if this is the start of a trend or a blip. Looks like we got some tracking. The chill storm looks promising. The weekend storm is a matter of a super lucky placement of that 500mb
  6. GEFS 18z Hug the 5 percent chance for next weekend in P20.
  7. I like the probability maps because they are useful in seeing trends when viewed over several runs. I use the 3 inch or more to get rid of the noise of the members showing a dusting. The reality is that there is 0 percent chance of snow before next weekend. No map of any kind will change that reality.
  8. WB GEFS 12z. Most if this 3 inch or more probability is after DAY 7 in DMV.
  9. Light snow/sleet mix Brunswick 28
  10. Next batch according to WB 6z EURO.
  11. It is only one run, but the ICON was never a fan of this weekend’s storm, so this makes me take notice.
  12. Looked at the EURO 0z and the 6z 3k NAM and going back to sleep. Looking like not much of anything.
  13. WB 3k NAM Sleet/freezing rain signing off...GN
  14. Thanks for the positive vibe. We need it. Perhaps the mood will improve with a wintry scene tomorrow.
  15. Unfortunately, this suns up the the long range rather sadly. 18Z GFS WB prob of 3 inches or more thru DAY forever (16)
  16. EURO had less snow but more sleet and freezing rain than GFS. The mesoscale models basically have little precipitation of any kind.
  17. E EURO and GFS are on the same page. Mesoscale models like NAM and RGEM are not buying the event.
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