Weather Will
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Everything posted by Weather Will
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WB 12Z GEFS actually the snow maps look better today than yesterday Trend or blip TBD.
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Informative albeit depressing article in the Washington Post on the snowless winter: https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/02/20/year-has-passed-since-washingtons-last-inch-snow/ to date.
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WB 12Z GEFS. I won't give up until the end of the first week of March...however, I am starting to look forward to my first beach trip in June.
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Still looks like the periods to watch are February 27-28, and March 3-5. Long shots at best but from two weeks out I don’t remember a strong signal for the NC event that is occurring tomorrow. We will need some luck. Party never got started but it is over in about 4 weeks so we track the crumbs that the weather gods have handed us this year.
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WB 6z GEFS for first week of March. Perhaps the last chance still showing some life.
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WB 6z 3k NAM/ GFS
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WB 6Z GEFS only one Member liking end of next week.
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Thank you both. Thought you meant on my computers!!! I thought I was being punished for posting prob maps.
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Oz EPS still gives a little hope for the period February 27- March 5 with two systems. Can’t post maps anymore with this new .01MB limit.
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12Z GEFS. This is all Day 10 plus for us.
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WB 12Z 3K NAM...good luck southern folks! It will be a coup for the NAM if correct. ICON at 12Z is third of this in a much smaller area in east central NC, VA border.
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6Z WB GEFS
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Unrelated to weather, but perhaps I have been banned. I can't upload maps anymore. Something about file size. Anyone tell me where to go for instructions or what to do?
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WB EPS signals a chance small 20% or less chances starting late next week into the first week of March. The control also has a storm for early March.
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WB 12Z GEFS.....period to watch remains end of February into the first week of March. (The only area showing prob. before then is around SE VA for late this week.
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WB 6z EURO. No snow this work week. T minus about 4 weeks and counting.
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I would argue that the prob snow maps have been accurate. They have never trended above 50% for 3 inches or more all winter inside of five days and it has not snowed. During the 15 day ensemble period still no high probs of snow. I completely agree that snow maps don’t tell us anything about the pattern itself.
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Hug WB 6z GEFS P3 for 6 hours for long range hope.
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WB GFS Day 16. Appears to be the second threat window and perhaps the last as we lose the favorable EPO around this time.
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WB 0z EPS end of next week which is the first period I thought had a chance if the trough can dig deeper on the East coast. Not sure if that is possible without more ridging out west. Keep expectations very low.
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WB 18z GEFS...hits are not this week.
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I just don’t see it for the DMV except SE VA. Watch the EURO. If it changes, I will start believing.
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Not true at all...uptick in snow in southern and central va day 14 and 15 Isn’t most of that for the late week NC storm?
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WB 12z EPS thru Day 15. No changes. Nada.
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WB 12Z GEFS Mean Next Friday and snow map 28th thru 4th.
