NYCweatherNOW

7 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

Roughly what time does the NAM have it starting?

7pm for Central park

an hour earlier for New Jersey/ Pennsylvania border.

how is this winter so horrible!

2 hours ago, JerseyWx said:

I'm very upset about Intellicast.  Looks like Weather Underground took over.  The site is very slow and not laid out as nice.

I agree. Intellicast was not perfect but it worked perfect on my iPhone. Kinda annoying. Wunderground is horrible. You know what it is, weather channel owns wunderground and I still think the weather channel sucks. The only time I liked weather channel was when Dave Schwartz and Paul Koćin was the winter weather expert. Now it’s just here with a bunch of ’s

My call is 4-8 for Central Park now. Based on my observations this call is 4-8 of slop from Central Park up to White Plains, NY

Hey how come NOAA.gov site is down and also what happened to intellicast.com? I don’t get it. 35 degrees outside and cooling down slowly

1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said:

Oh no? Comes in as 37° rain for NYC, ends as freezing drizzle. 

I don’t think Central Park goes above 32 tomorrow. At least until the precipitation moves in. I’m just making this call from my weather observation skills. I may be wrong but I think we wetbulb to about 30 degrees tomorrow evening when it initially snows and it’ll come in like a wall before any apparent change over to mix and rain. This could be a freezing rain type of deal too the models are not 100% not even at this range. But it does look like 3-6 for Central Park.

http://hp6.wright-weather.com/eastnmm.shtml

this model looks like the nam not sure the name of it... wrf?

This winter blows!

18 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Second guess

Very nice map yanks. You can adjust those numbers as u get closer if the models trend any colder. Good job

29 minutes ago, tim said:

...yeah..i got close to an inch of snow..temp @ 28.4..still have -S.

wouldn't surprise me if this will be more snow then i get on sat./sun slop fest.

No that’s not going to be the case Tim. I mean in life anything is possible just chances are against that. Unless you live in south jersey 

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Yup, worst winter ever.

It’s 80% frozen and trending colder. It’ll be a fun storm cheer up debby

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Talk about a useless model.  They deep-sixed the NOGAPS for it, but it hasn't been much of an improvement.  If they are looking for ways to save money in DC, one way would be to eliminate this model.

Honestly bro I think navgem is a better model than the gfs and Canadian put together 

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

Uncle looks way south

Navgem 18z south?

And doorman this isn’t a clipper. It’s coming from the pacific. It’s a very juicy system not a moisture starved system that redevelops off the coast.

p.s. Gfs and cmc are the worst models.

i swear I think sometimes the navgem is a better model than both gfs and cmc

The trend is real. We can still get another 30-40 miles south and get 8 inches of snow and sleet. Maybe NOAA is right about the winter storm watch after all. Let’s see what gfs shows. It needs to show a colder solution otherwise it’s a red flag

2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Ok let's set the over/under at 2 feet between 2-1 & 2-28

Over

GFS being colder and more east gives me more confidence that euro and ukmet are near the real solution. Also I honestly think icon is a better model than the GFS

10 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Came a bit north like other guidance. Closer to consensus.

It honestly looks good for an easy 3-6 in the city itself.

Eps?

1 minute ago, JerseyWx said:

Well Feen, you may be right.  However, I would not get your hopes up considering how this winter has gone thus far.

Fair enough. We’ll see 

6 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

So basically you want to bet that our snowiest month of the season on average is going to be our snowiest month?

No I’m betting that it’s going to be a big big month for cold and especially snow. Way above average

February is our month. Anybody want to bet?

if I lose I don’t post for the whole summer if I win you don’t post for the summer 

7 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

The trolling is over the line.

The Euro is not an all out torch. This is the warmest panel. It might be warm on Long Island but this was never a snowstorm in that area.

Hey yanks wasn’t the euro showing 40’s for the city a couple of days ago or it was just the GFS showing that?

Jma probably the worst model of all shows a nice track

 this is still a pretty good solution for New England. Nyc not so much

i wonder what thunder thingy is doing