NYCweatherNOW

Just inside bm. Almost perfect

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

As HM posted on Twitter a few minutes ago in response to Earthlight it would be funny if this thing just ended up entirely suppressed after all of this 

It’s not happening. Even with today’s 12z ukmet run was way east and we got a heavy snow event depiction. The area of precip is wide and long!

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Is it west or just slower? It was in GA now AL but as long as it goes offshore to the BM we should be fine

It is a bit west of the last run but in my opinion it’s just as good.. don’t have the soundings 

6 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Lock it up. 

Don't like the west tick but considering where we were 3 hours ago we can't get Greedy. Need the PV to squash this.

Well I think this will work

Ukmet 0z run a bit west but ends up having a benchmark track 

Ukmet?

Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

I will gladly take 10-20" of snow

I hope you get it James you and I are on the same boat ukmet or nothing

Deep thunder check

Just now, allgame830 said:

Not entirely true this could still cause big problems for Monday AM commute with temps falling that rapidly on Sunday and Monday being 20 degrees at best...

It’s holiday should be a bit less

7 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

someone posted it in another thread----Pittsburgh 

Ty

deep thunder

Cmc looks a lot better

1 minute ago, Zelocita Weather said:

Honestly it’s not too far from getting squashed south...with the cold/highs/50-50 low present

We want it another 100 Miles south and you would have a benchmark track verbatim a snowstorm 

Major cave towards ukmet

Incoming 

ukmet look

22 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said:

Eric or anyone else did you see Deep Thunder ? It looked good saw it posted in another thread

Can you dm it or post it 

gfs colder n south so far

Gfs definitely south

1 minute ago, Greg said:

The orientation of the PV is not favorable.  Look at the lobes and see how the Low reacts and the overall flow.  You want the high pressure to comme in stronger and faster when the Low is at its lowest point in the southwest.  The high pressure should not weaken that much but apparently is which in turn alows the low to meet less resistance to move north not to mention a little slow exiting, weak southeast ridge to help

The nam is showing that and also ukmet but that’s not enough yet

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Not that it matters, That's a shift to the NW from the 18z run

Gotta toss that run. It just didn’t look right. Rain in Springfield Illinois? Come on

nam’s digging by the gulf literally at the of its run.. No model has the low pressure that south than the NAM. And that high pressure is moving in from the Alberta at a faster rate than let’s say GFS. Hopefully that PV pressing down shows up more on the future runs.

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

The pattern argued for this to be fairly squashed and flat as I had posted two days ago when I said the NAM track looked best.  Just about everything has trended that way.  It’s so weak now though that even southern areas probably won’t see much 

Looks like a solid inch will do here from NYC-Boston  Temps look good and nam is usually good with temps definitely far better than GFS.

Nam is really digging there. 

Do we still have a chance in New York City to get all snow?

How’s the eps look for Boston and nyc 

23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

How much you get? Perfect position and it deepens in PFs ideal upslope spot. I would love to see how much Stowe Sugarbush Smuggs MRG could get

You have the frame before the top one