Snowcrazed71

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah...well if this keeps trending, not sure we'll have much to build off of....lol. Thump is trending weaker.

 

Hopefully we see some trending back in the good direction. Still plenty of time as it's 108 hours out.

What does someone have to do in here to get a pure snowstorm. Tired of depending on the front end thump. Even that's been weak at best. I think everyone will be happy if we get a pure snowstorm blizzard-like conditions slow mover two to three foot amounts from Mid-Atlantic up to the Northeast. Let's hope for just one

Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

Since when do we ignore a potential event 72 hours away?  We always say to pay attention until within reasonable time frame.  I would give it through the 00z cycle tonight, if the trends go the other way or stay the same as the 00z last night, then I will side with everyone else on no threat for snow.

Just my opinion James ;-). Trying to save you from your own agony of hope in this one. But, I commend your resolve man!

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah James, you aren't getting snow from the Thursday system...maybe a few flakes at the very end is all I'd hope for.

James.. I also agree. Thursday Snow is not happening for any SNE. This weekend is a different story. That seems to being still trending ( in the right direction as far as Wintry precip ), but..we still have until Thursday to iron that one out. I'd say our best shot for a true Snow event will be after this week. Next weeks temps and storm set up is highly favorable for something real good! Great enthusiasm James... But, I'd tell you to let Thursday go. 

7 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

Not a flake of snow out of this here in Enfield.

Funny...here in Plainville we have a coating. It's still lightly snowing, but, the moon is out. Very cool!! The dogs loved it to

12 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

HRRR 12z model was off by 3 hours in development of the surface low down to 1018mb over northern LA and southern AR border, it was there at 19z the model as of the 12z run had it there at 22z tonight.

Happy wishcasting for this one LOL it's not coming West. When that happens, it probably happens once every maybe 10 years. At this point, with the set-up, with everything else around it, it's going to do what it's going to do. It's not making any big changes at this point. Not being negative, just stating the truth. However, if you're right, I'll eat 10 crows

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Options on table 

Fropa to a 12+ stemwinder 

 

Took a look back and I'm not sure what dates you're talkin about you guys. When is this one for?

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Man if we could only lock that in. 

Sucks its still 4-5 days out.

24-hr totals. 

Don't get Sucked into the Trap. Same thing happened for us here in Connecticut with the storm for this Sunday. 2 or 3 days ago it was showing us getting a snow nice little snow storm. Now Zippo. Take it with a grain of sand, not salt LOL

1 minute ago, Lava Rock said:

1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL

Hey are we long lost brothers? I could have written this

Lol. Here I am. Ha

Hilarious to me. Just yesterday the meteorologist in Connecticut where like. " Oh, this is going to be a good size Snowstorm for Sunday ". The models were showing a fair amount of snow, to today, looks like the snow chances dropped off to just a couple of mood flakes at the end of it on Sunday. I am not sure what's going on, but, last Year started off with what was supposed to be a great pattern for cold and snow and we didn't get it. This year they were saying a much better pattern than last year definitely going to be a good winter for the Northeast for cold and snow. Northern New England has done well so far, but Southern New England to the Mid-Atlantic not good at all. So much for a good winter. I know it's only the beginning of January, but even the 14-day Outlook is way above normal with not much snow chances. I'm sorry for the rant, I'm just frustrated. But whatever, it's just weather LOL

31 minutes ago, Dr. Dews said:

not a hater at all. Huge SE ridge flex, -pna +ao +nao...how can someone hate on that. Everything is going as planned and awesome

I love how you try to push buttons. They have a forum that is for you. It's called SUMMER. 

3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Amen!

If I'm reading right, the 12z Euro shows the coastal bomb. At least as of right now, right?

This pattern is turning into last year again. It's comical

Well.. We are now getting sleet here. I'm on the Plainville/Farmington line. About 500 ft up. Wasn't expecting any sleet now. He made mention that we might have a few sleet a love tomorrow morning, and I figure we miss out on the icing because of where we are. So, why are we getting sleet here now?

23 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Ground has whitened from pathetic-looking flakes.  Beats the rain though.

In that kind of early about the snow mixing in that this point? Also, I need snow in Enfield..was reporting sleet as well. Is it cold air coming in a little quicker because of the storm that's forming to the South? Starting set to saturate the lower levels

I will admit that they admitted before, I became a little negative about the way the pattern has been as of late. But in my defense, I did have some surgery, and I was on some pain medications that I'm not used to and never take. I think that had a lot to do with me feeling more negative LOL. I'm sure and the pattern will change. To anyone there who is concerned or worried that winter is over, don't be. It's not. I promise it'll be back and everyone will be happy, well except for Dr. Dews...lol

So...the latest is the high pressure to our north is going to dig its heels in, which will drain the cold air into the area, and, looks to pop another storm of the coast Monday eve. Right now, it looks to be an icy mix for inland Connecticut. Things are still evolving though, so, we'll see. Can't we get a big ole snowstorm.. Yes..I'm a WEENIE!!! LOL

So. When does it look like we will have our next Snow potential for the northeast/SNE? 1/6?

7 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

I don't know what the HFS3 model is. A model showing a snowstorm 10+ days out and then having it verify on occasion isn't particularly useful to me as an operational meteorologist. It just doesn't get the details right within 5 days when it matters. 

Sorry.. Spell check went to work on this. I meant to say the GFS

19 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

GFS is just so bad nowadays. Really disappointing. I seriously barely use it anymore. 

Hmmm. I would have to disagree. The HF3S model had been calling for the snowstorm that is going to be hitting the Midwest. The Euro hadn't showed it, until today that is. So, GFS was first to show the storm..the Euro then Came on board after. Just stating a fact. 

5 hours ago, Dr. Dews said:

See ya next November

Yeah... I think everyone wouldn't mind  not seeing you until. " NEVER " you're such a joy and a winner man. 

I do want to apologize for my little rant earlier. Although it wasn't even that bad compared to what I'm seeing LOL. I know winter will be back. I've always been a very optimistic person and I plan on staying that way. I'm quite sure we're going to see more storms and see the excitement level shootup to the top of the exiteometer. So, let's take this little break we're going to have from the winter weather in the next couple of weeks and know that it'll be back. It will be fun times ahead. And we'll all forget about these last few weeks. Merry Christmas to all you guys. I really do like this forum and enjoy coming here every day

So guys. Are we seriously sing that January is now a lost cause. The same s*** happened last year. And this year they're talking about it being so much different and so much better as far as the setup goes. Please tell me that things are going to flip and to January. I hate to have another sucky winter like last winter. But I did have a great December so I'm not complaining about that

I'm not sure what all of you are saying, but, I'm in Central Connecticut and we've already received about 18"-20" in here in Plainville. That is definitely not a bad start for December. So it's not just NNE or CNE, it's also Southern New England

Just listen to my love by the guy in Connecticut. He said we're not going to get into that real warm sector that they're going to have in the midwest. Will be on the edge, so the highest will get to the mid-40s by Monday Tuesday and Wednesday come and then they will drop back with a Chance of some snow on Thursday. Is also a chance with bigger storm the end of the weekend. He did mention things will be changing for January too cold and stormy a month. I'd rather it be, for the holiday as well just listen to my local by the guy in Connecticut. He said we're not going to get to that real warm sector that they're going to have in the Midwest. Will be on the edge, so the high as well get to the mid forties by Monday Tuesday and Wednesday, then they will drop back with a Chance of some snow on Thursday. Is also a chance would bigger storm the end of the weekend. He did mention things will be changing per January too cold or and stormy a month. I'd rather it be calm for the holiday as well. That's why I'm traveling to do

9 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

What?

Pay. no attention to him