Snowcrazed71

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We watched as well. It’s the right approach.  

I do agree. One thing about Ryan is he doesn't hype anything. So when he does say it's gonna be big....it's gonna be big.

Just watched my local met, Ryan H on wvit in CT. He will not side with either solution yet. He said 1 model has the storm walloping CT with heavy rain changing to Heavy Snow Saturday.  Then he said the other model is way out to sea and not really doing much for us. He does have a first alert for Saturday for the potential for a major storm. Said that Bob maxon ( other met ) Will and should have a better handle on the storm tomorrow morning. He also said it's not often where things are so up in the air only 36 hours out.

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You have to understand when SEMA folk say SNE...they refer to the love triangle of Boston, Orh, Taunton. Everyone outside of there are considered new yorkers or canadians.

Lol.. That's funny because we consider you guys the lobsta pottas... The cape and the islands... But not SNE..lolol ( jk )

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That’s a hellacious Rainer from like ORH points east in mass on the gfs.... not a great run for snow in SNE

Well.. I wouldn't say that. It puts a lot of central and northern Connecticut back in the game. And we are southern New England

Just now, RDRY said:

Yay, Berks. One more tic west and they're good to go. Funny seeing the GFS being the stronger, western outlier. It typically is nudging west toward consensus at this lead time.

So...does the 00z GFS bode well for North central Connecticut ( just north of 84 )?

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That next one behind the 5th would be another good one.

Is that one for mid week next week? No one is talking about it except one quick mention of something to watch thats put to sea as of now?

I am happy with what I see for us here in central CT. 

What really gets me is how bad technology is with weather forecasting. It seems like they can't even get anything together even when the storm is within a few days. I just don't get how bad these models are.

I feel like there was always more of an issue when things were way out to see that they started to tik back West. That seemed to happen so often where it would bring the Snows back into the SNE within a day of the storm hitting

Well. The WSW are up for all of west central mass.. Western Vermont and eastern upper hudson Valley. That's def not from the NAM model..lol

19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You become numb to it after years of virtual abuse. We need gulf lows Miller A’s like 96 or 16. Once in a blue moon we’ll get the western edge of a Jan 11 or Feb 13 Miller B but those are the exception not the rule. God made the CT river for a reason ha. 

I still wouldnt hold this as gospel. There is still a good chance that where you are in western CT could still get a little more than show ( things could still wobble enough to work in your favor ). All you need is a small.change to bring you back to above 4"

So.. This isnt bad. Not sure it ticks anymore east, wondering if it ticks back west a bit... But, I will take this where I live in Plainville CT. 

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

3 hours weenie

Lol. I am a weather lover.. But not a weenie, DICK... Lol

The Euro comes out in an hour?

6 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Exactly what it says.  3 km is a resolution between sampled points of 3km vs 12 km 4 x as coarse.

So.. From what your saying.. The 3km is less likely then the 12km?

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

That salmon there ... I almost see that as snow with bullets embedded and occasional lightning 

So, I'm a little confused with something. What's the difference of the 3 km Nam model run as opposed to the regular 12z run? My thinking is the Euro will come east a little bit more I still see snow in North central Connecticut

I'm guessing that the 12z Euro run will be an important one ( I think the NAM use right before ). 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Looked like the best gfs run to me. Split the euro/gfs 70/30 or 60/40 whatever you fancy...and it could be decent for interior SNE. 

Would you consider interior southern New England being just north of I84 in Connecticut? 

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m all in for accumulating snow. Not like that shows, but accumulating snows look likely 

I like this Damage in Tolland guy!! Lol. 

Funny thing is, Nam showed this first today, then the Euro followed. Lets see if the GFS corrects mpre towards these two ( even the Ukie was in the camp of Euro and Nam ). 

13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Seriously, you need to chill a bit.  You’re all upset over a dumb ass rainstorm?  It’s the end of November yesterday, and the very beginning of December today...lots of times it rains in New England at this time of the year...even in Central/Northern New Hampshire.  Winter time weather is not yet locked in anywhere in the northeast.  You’re likely gonna rain again before you snow. 

Last year and the year before it rained in Fort Kent Maine a couple days before Xmas...washing out 3 feet of pack, which is literally 250-300 miles north of you....it happens Phin.  So just be a little patient..you’ll get what you moved there for, don’t you worry. 

I couldnt agree with you more. This applies to a few others to. 

54 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 I’ve been around on the boards longer than you’ve been alive son.

Cmon man... I'm 49 in 2 days. Your kind.of acting like a child if you are old as you say you are. Smarten up, mature up, and be an example to the younger crew on here ( simce you are older tham most you should have some wisdom ). 

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So when I’m cautious and worried it’s annoying and when I decide to join you guys with positivity and snow coming chances it’s annoying. Got it 

Listen. I think we all would be happy for you to join in the convo, just not in the negative way you have been posting. Reverse psychology, not wanting to be disappointed later... It doesnt really matter the reason, it's just doesnt add anything to the discussion. So... Join in, but please.. Try to keep your negative thoughts to yourself ( unless they are warranted and teue ). ;-)

Thats why it is smart to focus on the here and now. Forecasting out beyond 2 weeks is somewhat futile. Too much of that on here..... Brings out all the cliff jumpers ( and it doesn't help with the antagonizers as well ). Sometimes the forum is a Shit show ( and I don't mean everyone, only a certain few )  lets track away and just ignore the naysayers. 

2 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Latest map.

This makes more sense

Ok..so wow. The GFS and the Euro both show something juicy for the northeast next Tuesday timeframe ( even the cmc ). This weekend still looks iffy, but improved somewhat from previous runs.