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TJW014
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Everything posted by TJW014
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WWA issued here. 3-5". Would make for the biggest event here in 3 years if I get over 4". So long as NJ state offices don't close, the plan is for burgers and weenies over a campfire on the beach. If not, we'll be towing sleds behind the truck down some fire roads -
I think 3-4" is a good bet for me. Similar events like this so far this winter have underperformed slightly so I'll sit on the lower side of things. I do have a concern to see maybe some mixing right along the shore with that east wind developing but we'll see what happens
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Winter Storm Watch issued for me. 4-6" with localized amounts of 6-8" per Mt Holly. We'll see what happens.
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That was northern Monmouth that cashed in. We got shafted just to the south of that killer band in a subsidence zone. I measured 12" at Sandy Hook and 3 inches in Asbury Park. 1.5" at home from that one. Exit 105 - Exit 63 on the GSP has been skunked year after year. Take a look a seasonal total map this year.
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I'll bet $20 that the subsidence area sits right over me
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I think 3-4" is a good "way too early call" for areas south of I-80. Maybe up to 5" for Mercer/Middlesex/Monmouth/Ocean Counties if the north trend continues
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In perfectly happy where this is right now. Just north of the heaviest axis of snow is. Since these time after time again will tick north last minute, it should throw me, CNJ and the south shore of LI in the sweet spot. I haven't seen more than 4" of snow in my yard since 2018 (I was away for January 2022)
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Crazy that I'm no more than 5 miles from you and we haven't had a lick of sleet yet. Sitting at 36.
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At least this will put a dent in the drought for many of us.
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Looks about a 30 mile shift to the north. NYC and LI see 0.3" qpf. About 0.5" qpf right over me
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Only frozen precipitation so far has been road salt. Milking that overtime down here. Rain continues
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Straight rain here. Not even a ping. Started about 10 minutes ago.
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KDOX/KDIX radars filling in. Looks wetter than the NAM and HRRR are showing. Stop looking at maps. Now is the time for radar/obs
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Sitting at 30 right now. Sun breaking through the clouds as well. But it was always going to be a sleet to rain event here.
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NYC would probably have over a 100" seasonal average if Day 5-10 maps verified every time.
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Try coastal Ocean County
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Something vs nothing line is going to set up along the Monmouth/Middlesex County line
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I'd rather a whiff than these snow to slop to rain events. Been either too far north or too far south this winter so far. Ocean County snow hole doing it's thing.
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Peak gust of 53 mph on the bayfront here
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Worth mentioning we finally dipped below zero this morning. Down to -2. Last two mornings were 9 and 13.
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On track here for the driest January on record. Sitting at .29" (inc. melted snow). I believe the record for NJ is 0.51" in 1981. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong
