Sundog

1966 is the only one where the average was over 100. But it's not fair to have the whole period average over a certain number, basically if there are 5 days over 90 all 5 days qualify but if two out of those 5 days the average was 90 and the other three days it was 106, it would still not average over 100 over the 5 day period, despite those three days being absolutely epic heat. Yet if the 90 degree days were only 89 degrees they wouldn't be counted as part of the period and the average would shoot up despite technically being a cooler stretch.

Then there would have only been one event that qualified as per Don's chart. 100 is too high for our area.

The always overheated GEMLAM has high heat for us Tuesday but the highest is actually in southern NJ. This is 2PM Tuesday:

Just cut back the canopy that towers around the station.

The wind really picked up out there

@FPizz says it's accurate

That one event where people got 10 inches in a 5 block wide band? That's @FPizz favorite event.

It might do it on Tuesday. I'll be at 104 if that happens which makes me annoyed

If the park gets to 100 on any day it will definitely be Tuesday

If I knew for a fact their wouldn't be any power issues I would care if it got very hot every once in awhile. That's were my biggest concern lies.

I'm thinking the seabreeze on Monday afternoon knocks down the heat building effects. We are not going to see 90 degrees at 2AM early Tuesday morning like models were showing several days ago. No doubt if the Euro is right though Tuesday will be very bad.

To be fair the higher resolution models are much cooler than the inferno Euro.

Euro is still 105 for Tuesday, the only model that hot.

Can you post 5PM map?

12z EURO has 103 in NYC Monday but down to 84 by 8PM. On the 0z run the temp was still 98 degrees at 8PM.

12z GGEM pushes the 100s inland on Tuesday though and NYC east stays in the 90s FYI.

12z GFS has 102 for Manhattan for Tuesday and upper 90s deep into LI.

Upper 80s in NYC for Monday on the 12z GGEM, down into the 70s by 8PM. The 6z Euro is the only model pumping out 100s for NYC on Monday, but that's an old run, let's see what 12z shows.

80s for NYC on Monday on the new 12z GFS.

Technically the 6z run was the halfway point between the 0z and 12z changes.

That may be true but now pretty much all the models have turned the winds from the ocean instead of from the NW. Bottom line if that wind direction is anywhere close to true we're not getting to 104 on Monday like the Euro had yesterday or the day before.

0z ICON had near 100 and NWerly winds for NYC Monday and now the 12z run has 85 degrees with easterly winds hahaha We take

The RGEM, which had the medium grays (mid 100s) running into Suffolk County on the 6z run on Tuesday 5PM now has this at 12z:

Could easily be wrong but the 6z ICON, UKMET AND Euro AI all have a ocean wind component for Monday now. The UKMET especially changed because it was an inferno beforehand.

Monday 2PM on 12z NAM: