Sundog

Euro went from having like 5 days in a row over 100 (and solidly over 100) to now only having Tuesday above 100.

Considering the Euro didn't have one at all for several runs and for the duration of the heat, the way next week will play out has changed quite a bit over the last couple days of model runs.

Wednesday is significantly cooler compared to 0z. Now it has onshore flow and/or a northerly /NNE wind depending on where you are.

104 in NYC on Tuesday lol

Aha! 12z EURO has southerly winds on the coast for Monday, most of NYC has dropped into the 80s and some 70s by 8PM. But Tuesday might still look hot, I don't have it yet but winds go westerly overnight/very early Tuessday morning.

I think the 12z Euro will shine a light on our chances for 100 in NYC. It's trended downward from its Death Valley highs. If it continues to do so at 12z my confidence in other cooler models like the GFS will increase.

I am not entirely convinced that no one in NYC reaches 100. I have no confidence Central Park will for obvious reasons. But I think one of the micronet stations can hit it before any type of light seabreeze develops.

You should put your solar panels in the shade. Makes no difference.

Yes but NYC has had a population of 8 million for literally 100 years.

Let's wait and see what the Euro shows, I wouldn't lock any specific solution in yet

Either way dewpoints are nasty in the upper 60 to low 70s

To be fair you're comparing the Euro to the GFS Euro is still a heat blast, just that it's now 102 instead of 108 haha Let's see what it shows in a couple hours, it's definitely trending "cooler"

12z GFS maintains the "cooler" look with temps for the city on Tuesday in the upper 80s to near 90 in the city because of an ocean wind component and near 100 in eastern New England.

Yea but that is a different matter. A weather station is supposed to be sited properly. And for the climate change deniers, it's not that I am worried about any agenda. The park is simply not sited properly, period. In fact some of the fastest warming stations are in completely rural locations, that is not the point. JFK should be not be getting hotter than Central Park with a SW wind, ESPECIALLY in June. If people care about data integrity they would have a problem with Central Park's temps. There is no conspiracy.

If your whole area is covered in concrete, then why would concrete be a problem for your thermometer? The whole point of a thermometer is to give you an accurate representation of the temperatures you are going to experience.

Either we have siting standards or we don't. A weather station is supposed to be in an open area, not underneath trees and overgrowth.

So is a bog. You are not going to put a thermomemter in the mud, are you?

The regular Euro has seen somewhat larger drops in heights. This is for Monday:

The Euro and AI version are trending down slightly with max heights on Monday and Tuesday. Here is an example for the AI Euro for Tuesday:

The 6Z Euro AI likes NJ for the 100 degree heat.

It's gotten more humid so it doesn't even feel good anymore.

Speaking of which, the 0Z Euro is "cooler" than previous runs, most top temps are now closer to 100. It's still the hottest model by far. The 6z GFS is much different than the Euro. Top heat into New England. Southerly winds along the coast.

It sure does. You can be surrounded by trees too. I bet it feels really different though if you stand UNDERNEATH one instead of NEXT to one, right? Don't be a ball buster lol

Yes haha But 90s is nothing we've haven't seen day in and day out around here. The Euro runs of yesterday showing close to 110F heat were terrifying.

Not sure if the 18z GFS is a head fake but it's quite a bit cooler than the last several inferno runs and there is much more of an ocean wind effect involved.