Sundog

1931-1960 average was 58.3 degrees 1941-1970 average was 58.7 degrees Both easily warmer than the last two periods not affected by tree growth: 1961-1990: 57.5 degrees 1971-2000: 57.1 degrees

I can't believe it's that time of year again, BRIAN

If those four torch days didn't happen Central Park would have finished below normal even when going by the 1981-2010 standards. When I calculated the 30 year averages going way back, I found the 1931-1960 and 1941-1970 averages for October warmer than today's FYI.

Those four days in the 80s added about +1.4 degrees to the monthly average in Central Park, even more in other locations.

Nobody feels like the October we just had was a warm, above normal month though in the tristate. That four day torch in the first week skewed the averages.

I can't believe we have to switch clocks back this weekend. I hope all you weirdos that go to sleep at 4PM are happy.

It looks like if it wasn't for that barely 70 degree high on the 19th, Central Park would have gone the entire second half of October without any days in the 70s of higher. In fact it was the only day with a high of 70 or higher since the 8th, when our mini torch ended. That's actually really impressive, especially when considering the background state we have to deal with.

It would really be something if a giant low came through the area and only dropped a couple of tenths in central NJ

Looks like the clouds are getting shoved to the SW in your area, you might be getting more sun soon.

This suppression would have caused some tears for sure in winter:

What might be causing the more muted colors this year? It's nowhere near as dry as last fall.

15 days to go

That's fine. But not having him freely post feels over the top.

I enjoyed reading Liberty Bell, he filled up the boring dead stretches of weather nicely.

This week's system is still evolving, I see a dryslot

So a near normal winter

I couldn't get any lower than 42 degrees, the wind never died down long enough to let it drop further, it would always pick up here and there to bump tremps back up. But a couple miles south of me temps got down to 37 degrees. I'm just too close to the water I guess.

I'm not far from the water, about a mile and a half. In November 2012 I had 8 inches of paste while LGA recorded 1 inch because of the station being right next to the East River.

You can tell how fake the cold is, when someone sneezes the temperature jumps up several degrees. I was in the upper 40s but a 4 mph wind was recorded and it resulted in temps jumping into the lower 50s.

I'm reading the Omaha weather balloons were resumed in April 2025 after a brief pause in March 2025.

I don't disagree that weather balloons are important, but missing balloon data is commonplace throughout the world for various reasons, and the average daily missing balloon data globally far outpaces the missing American balloon data. The conversation started about model accuracy.

About eight times the current missing American balloon data is absent globally on any given day, and yet we don't see extensive articles talking about models not performing as they should because of all those missing balloons.

My wind never died down and only reached 45

It depends what you ask. I asked it extensive questions to get to the result, and there were links embedded within the output to see where Chat pulled the data from. It was basically a Google search.

BTW @NEG NAO I also asked ChatGPT to break down the weather data network weather models ingest and to give me a percentage of the data the missed balloons represent. It did an extensive breakdown which is a lot to post, but the missing balloons represent between 0.01% to 0.028% of weather model data. I also researched the typical daily missed balloon launches worldwide for any reason, and that amounted to an average daily model ingestion data gap of between 0.097% to 0.24%. This is for balloon launches specifically. In other words the sky isn't falling.