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Sundog

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Everything posted by Sundog

  1. I see no Canadian products ran at 12z. I'm sure they're just glitching out.
  2. The stingy UKMET that had the storm 5000 miles away on previous runs:
  3. Were you not in the mid to upper 80s the last few days?
  4. Even the UKMET now gives us some precip and that thing had it going toward Bermuda on previous runs.
  5. The models have been waffling all over the place, some had rain to our south, then over us, then north, etc.
  6. The 12z HRRR pops a low on the front and nails the tristate area with rain Wednesday morning.
  7. Is that looking ahead of schedule?
  8. Any decent weather subscriptions out there? I wanted to get Weatherbell because they have nice graphics but it's 30 a month! I hate Pivotal's color scheme so I would never pay for it. Anything else good out there?
  9. Leftovers from Little Ice Age, those temps were never sustainable climate change or not. And, even by that time's standards that winter was harsh as per the article. North America was estimated to be up to 3.5C colder than the latest 30 year average. Which as we know for long time periods is an absolutely massive negative temp anomaly.
  10. I don't know why I bother to look at models at all. They're flip flopping even for Tuesday's rain, let alone next weekend. They're complete and utter trash.
  11. There are so many factors that affect seasonal snowfall averages that we can't just take monthly temps and draw a straight line to snowfall averages.
  12. The main difference is proximity to the ocean even if averages are or were the same. October water temps are very bad no matter what era you are referring to.
  13. Do you have any dates? And what did surrounding locations get?
  14. Maybe it's the proximity to the ocean then that's the problem. And I still disagree, October snowstorm in NYC is extremely unlikely, whether it's 2025 or 1725
  15. I think that month was very humid though which we haven't really had so far. It also finished almost +6 even compared to our shitty new normals, I don't know if we will get there.
  16. Obviously I meant if this was occurring in January or thereabouts.
  17. This would have been a sick snowstorm. The low eventually comes over us but only when it's already rotting and during most of the precip duration it's showing strong northerly to NE winds.
  18. A nice little soaker on all the models for the Tuesday event on 6z.
  19. 18z GFS has practically no rain for majority of the forum. Nothing is ever easy
  20. So far the 18z runs of the NAM, RGEM AND ICON are all more rainy and more widespread with the rain than 12z.
  21. 18z RGEM has a nice rain event with the front:
  22. For those who want 80s in October move south.
  23. We most definitely do not have 5 months of cold coming. You know that's not happening. Winterwarlock complained about highs in the 60s. In the fall. Yea how awful I know right.
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