Sundog
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Everything posted by Sundog
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The 3k NAM has been all over the place. A few runs ago it had the storm completely bypassing everyone to the south and east. The regular NAM is more in line with other models:
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The color scheme on Pivotal is absurd. Nothing about this map says 60s and low 70s. This map looks like it should be 80s and 90s:
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Looks like you'll be in the jackpot with this system.
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Even at the end of May we get a last minute westward push with the low lol
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This reminds me of when NYC closed schools for remote the day AFTER the smoke filled day a couple years ago lol A little late there guys
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NAM 3K is really a POS model. It had nothing at 12z.
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The 12z GEMLAM has 2 inches of rain over a large area. This is hour 45:
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1.5C over 120 years for the Earth is a shit ton, but that doesn't mean you wake up to a tropical climate one morning.
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Cut off lows and east winds don't just magically disappear because the Earth is 1.5C warmer than the pre industrial average.
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12z 3K NAM gives us basically nothing lol haha
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I went to the Jersey shore for a few days with the family last summer and out of the two and a half hour ride I spent 45 minutes of that just trying to to get across that damned bridge.
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Today might be the last legit cool day we have until next fall.
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Cross Bronx is the worst. Wasn't it rated the slowest highway in the nation? GW bridge is one of the craziest bottlenecks.
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Central Park is 57 degrees, colder than the stations on the east end and the ones getting rain lol Oooooooook Manhattan is the coldest spot in the area ahahahahahaha
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You would think it would get wetter overall in a warming world in the far north.
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@LibertyBell's ideas remind me of one of my favorite excerpts from the sequel book of The Hitchhiker's Guide to The Galaxy: “If," ["the management consultant"] said tersely, “we could for a moment move on to the subject of fiscal policy. . .” “Fiscal policy!" whooped Ford Prefect. “Fiscal policy!" The management consultant gave him a look that only a lungfish could have copied. “Fiscal policy. . .” he repeated, “that is what I said.” “How can you have money,” demanded Ford, “if none of you actually produces anything? It doesn't grow on trees you know.” “If you would allow me to continue.. .” Ford nodded dejectedly. “Thank you. Since we decided a few weeks ago to adopt the leaf as legal tender, we have, of course, all become immensely rich.” Ford stared in disbelief at the crowd who were murmuring appreciatively at this and greedily fingering the wads of leaves with which their track suits were stuffed. “But we have also,” continued the management consultant, “run into a small inflation problem on account of the high level of leaf availability, which means that, I gather, the current going rate has something like three deciduous forests buying one ship’s peanut." Murmurs of alarm came from the crowd. The management consultant waved them down. “So in order to obviate this problem,” he continued, “and effectively revalue the leaf, we are about to embark on a massive defoliation campaign, and. . .er, burn down all the forests. I think you'll all agree that's a sensible move under the circumstances." The crowd seemed a little uncertain about this for a second or two until someone pointed out how much this would increase the value of the leaves in their pockets whereupon they let out whoops of delight and gave the management consultant a standing ovation. The accountants among them looked forward to a profitable autumn aloft and it got an appreciative round from the crowd.” ― Douglas Adams, The Restaurant at the End of the Universe
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Where were you headed to?
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There definitely is some northeastward push in the last few frames on radar.
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12z NAM is wetter again compared to 6z:
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All models still bring between 0.5 and 0.75 inches of rain into the NYC area with this first round.
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The NAM never changes its stripes.
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Models don't really have it lifting northeastward until midnight or beyond.
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18z NAM is MUCH wetter for he tristate compared to 12z for the first round.
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Euro still likes the big noreaster idea for our area
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12z ICON has a little powerhouse over our area:
