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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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Fall 2022 Medium/Long Range Forecast Discussion
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
What is it, like 2 weeks after the recurve that we sometimes get a nice Canadian airmass? After yesterday evening and this AM I want more of this wonderful weather. Looked like a pretty good cool shot out in lala land on 6z GFS, trying to make its way across the US. -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw a 43 at a weather station in Deer Lodge this AM. -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hope everyone is doing ok and has had a good summer, well as good as can be expected with all the rain. Summer weather sky pics: First the local stuff: Clinch River above Hwy 61 bridge: Fog on Bird Mt (Frozen Head state park in July) Carolina lily on Frozen Head state park (July) Watauga River (July) Grandfather Mt (July) gratuitous brown trout pic (at no extry charge) Virgin Falls TN Lost Creek Falls Mossy Grove double (faint) rainbow Now, here are some desert pics from May. Hoping I can bring some anti monsoonal mojo with some dry sunny sky pics. Chaco Canyon dust storm Chaco non dust storm Grand Canyon Canyonlands NP -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fireflies are out tonight on the plateau, lol. I don't know I've ever seen a day with moderate snow, AM frost the next morning, and then fireflies. -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some moderate snow now with this band coming off the plateau: -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Closing in on a dusting here in MoCo with a hard band. Couldn't get to the Smokies, but made it up to Frozen Head this AM. The snow line (sticking anyway) was probably about 1800 feet. Wild geranium: Red trillium: -
Also: The deterministic models are becoming more unstable for Friday and Saturday due to the cold air will producing very steep low-level lapse rates especially during the afternoon hours. Ensembles and deterministic models are in agreement now with CAPE of 100 to nearly 200+ so plenty of shower activity expected, especially during the afternoon/early evening hours Friday. The vertical CAPE profile is deep enough within the -14C degree layer or colder to produce isolated thunder. Would not be surprised to receive reports of graupel or even small hail with the stronger showers and storms. Thunder graup !
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MRX is going with 4 - 6 above 5000 feet or so. I may have a chance to go above 5000 feet on Saturday, there will be pictures if I do.
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So, snow showers Saturday night and Sunday? Looks like there could at least be a dusting for that ever-favored area in western Cumberland County we talked about earlier in the year.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Congrats Jeff! -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
A fire showing up west of Duffield too. -
Spring/Summer Observations 2022
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wildfire showing up on radar in Sevier County
