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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. No, there was a weather model subscription service, that for whatever reason, had each sref member. So you know how you can see individual members on the EPS or GEFS? You could actually look for the highest plume, in this case ARN 1, and then go to that service and see how that member played out out with precip. and temp panels.
  2. Probably got another 1.5ish hours on that. Maybe we'll get to try and interpret southernwx posts again!
  3. There used to be a subscription service where you could view individual sref members, but sadly I can't find it any more. This is probably as close as you can get to seeing that. This is the SREF MAX 3 hour snow, so it is showing you the absolute wonkiest top tier output imaginable
  4. It was a bit more neutrally tilted on the Euro and deeper: Euro left, GFS right
  5. Lucy can't pull the football if she doesn't hold it first, John, and give you some hope!
  6. Current mid level water vapor shows the vort soup starting to be compressed:
  7. Right now its a big soup over Hudson's Bay All that kind of gets compressed as it rotates south, by a ridge pressing down They're also doing another hurricane hunters dropsonde mission this evening. Looks like it is trying to sample some of the atmosphere that the Pac is going to sling at is as it rotates down:
  8. For those asking what we need for more to be involved (and it ain't happening) Here's what we have, not necessarily terrible for east TN: Here is what we need:
  9. ehhhhh Pivotal looks better, so we'll go with that:
  10. Rug pull watch may be warranted later today.
  11. If I lived in some place like NYC of Boston, I'd be pretty pissed at that guy for posting something like that. I think 90th percentile means it is higher than 90 percent of all samples in the analog set. Here's what the same analog set has for percentage on sites getting greater then 4". I don't mean this in any way as a dig at you Powell, I just think that guy is farming for clicks from high population center snow weenies.
  12. Google AI Weathernext 2.2e841369r16r4y1` trend over the past few runs. Ripped from another forum so you may have to look at the time stamps to see, but the current trend is a friend to you TRI folks: that is a 10:1 ratio too
  13. And by “decent” I don’t mean anything too crazy. But by no means a whiff.
  14. Precip maps looked like they had some decent snow over eastTN but I can’t tell how that compares to 12z
  15. Trying to keep it fresh, salty, and buttery this evening.
  16. It was pretty vague but also pretty enticing. it looked “wild.” And was a “monster.” no idea what that means specifically, and especially for east TN, but it does at least sound like in shifted in someway
  17. After what Bounycorn said on southernwx I think we’re all just sitting back and waiting for it lol.
  18. Looks like Google Weathernext v2.78665 pretty well held with the upper low bringing snow, but that's about it.
  19. New weather model/ data site: https://aguacerowx.com/app/
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