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Sw NC weather

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Everything posted by Sw NC weather

  1. Encouraging to see the HRRR shift south. Here’s total precipitation through hr 48. Moisture is still streaming through.
  2. HRRR trended south. Shows mainly rain for WNC but I’m not worried about thermals at this time. Let’s get the moisture here.
  3. 18z Euro is still good for most of us. Hard to believe we’re only 48 hrs out and there’s still so much uncertainty.
  4. GFS ever so slightly north but not much through 48 hrs.
  5. Does the Nam still have the bias of amping systems way to much?
  6. EPS with a nice uptick at 12z. Haywood west looks like a solid 3-5”. Let’s get the Nam on board and reel this thing in!
  7. GFS keeps the good vibes going. 4”-8” for the southern mountains.
  8. 12z Nam didn’t get all the way to us, but definitely trended in the right direction. I don’t see GSP putting anything up till tomorrow morning unless things are looking great this afternoon.
  9. I believe that one trended back NW to us, but could be wrong. No need to get worried at this point we’re one 50 mile shift away from a 4-8” event for us.
  10. No need to stress the wobbles guys. We’re only 30-50 miles from still being in the bullseye. I don’t wanna be there 5 days out anyways.
  11. Trend has been our friend today! Hopefully we can keep it going.
  12. First dusting of the year down this way. About 1/2” on elevated surfaces.
  13. Rain/Snow mix falling in Northern Macon County at 37 degrees. Maybe will drop below freezing and get our first dusting of the year.
  14. Highlands Gorge just got shut down. Assuming a land slide. Water is out everywhere.
  15. Minor flooding already occurring here in Macon county. Lots of rain still to come.
  16. GFS took a step in the right direction for next weeks event. Still aways to go but it’s something to track atleast.
  17. I’m at 32.3 in Northern Macon. I’ll skyrocket up before precip moves in. I only get ice once every 7-8 years with a real strong wedge. Good luck to the rest and be careful out.
  18. Lots of details to iron out, but if the low was about 50-100 miles further south we would be hammered with the deform band. Realistically that’s probably my only chance at seeing much from this system.
  19. A track like what the GFS showing in early January. We should be digging out! Oh well, I still think there’s a chance for the higher elevation people from Haywood north.
  20. GFS and Icon both shifted north some at 18z. Maybe this system has some legs. No need to get to invested until 12z tomorrow.
  21. I know it’s the Nam at range, but it’s something to look at.
  22. First car topper of the year in Northern Macon County. Flurries still flying.
  23. GFS is consist on a ULL swinging through the area on Friday and bringing a stout upslope snow. Hopefully it’s on to something, other models have hinted at it as well.
  24. Models are starting to show the first real threat window is gonna be Dec 30th - Jan 2nd. Euro had a solid 4-6” event for us on the 1st at 0z.
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