midatlanticweather

Just now, Negnao said:

There’s a better chance of earth getting hit by a gamma ray burst tomorrow than DCA getting 6-7 inches from this system. 

Anyone looking at 18z Euro for trends on the strength of the low getting ejected from out west? Or was it bad so we did not see it? 

Ouch. This looks familiar 

Craptastic 

Just now, frd said:

 

Well this is surprising 

 

I find that generous! LOL! Probably too generous.. but I would take that.

Hit 17 degrees at about 2:30am.. Some light breezes started and my temp quickly rose and now I am up to 28. Looks like a nice day ahead. 

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

the best was when it started. It was like 12 degrees lol. And it came in hot and heavy. Friend came over around 3am and we drove around for about an hour and a half. The next day was magical. And even the sleet was crazy because it was coming down really hard and  then it switched back to snow. The QPF maps were awesome. I got in trouble on the message boards because i was saying stuff like  12zAVN nukes DC. Apparently saying nuking offended people back then. And we used to have threads for each model run. like its own seperate thread

I think that is when I found Eastern.. 

I remember a coworker calling me after the small stuff the day before that brought in the cold.. I said - "That was not it!" - he thought I busted.

Little fun with the Temps and wind. Small gust caused Temps to rise earlier this morning, then we went back to calm and I am at the lowest temperature of the day. 

Like we needed any depressing news 

Looks like a few snow showers far SE Loudoun moving into Fairfax. 

Gfs

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

I am not saying the wave around the 22-23 couldn’t work. It’s has a decent shot. Just saying imo the progression gets even more favorable just after that. 

So maybe the storm after the storm.. We play that card many times. 

Little something/nothing on the gfs for the weekend. There.. somone had to say somethin'

1 minute ago, Ji said:

CMC destroys us---with light wintry mix

And a bombing 1016 Low... 

Meh... 

Just now, stormtracker said:

Storm/precip shield is more robust down south vs 18z, but next few panels has me worried

Ya.. Me too... 

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

The cold comes in behind the northern stream miller b type system around the 15th.  That is VERY likely to go to our north...then the cold hammer comes down behind it.  

We can hope... It seems that way, and I want to believe, but man it seems hard to get things right when the time approaches. I am hoping for better trends for next week..

Not exactly looking great beyond Tuesday's system either.  The whole continent looks above Normal!

6 minutes ago, VA Mad Man said:

Does the Euro start at 1pm EST?

 

 

Yes and is running now

Gefs looks good for NC and Southern Virginia from what I have seen

3 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said:

GFS track is perfect, right? Don't these things always shift north? LOL.

Yes.. usually after they get snow in the south then it gets pulled NW and gets the folks up north! DC Snow Hole!

I think we know this timeframe has potential - do we capitalize? Does anyone? We just have to wait and see how the actual outcome evolves! But waiting is the hardest part!

That looked like a great track for most of the run! But it did not go boom fast enough! We will see if this goes north and west with time.

5 minutes ago, LP08 said:

Nice adjustment from the GFS for Saturday. 

That is a trend you do not want to see this early! It will be in PA by tomorrow at that rate of adjustment!

1 minute ago, losetoa6 said:

More ns involvement at 99 hr  and a  bit less confluence to the ne . Hopefully its a good thing 

I do not think we are looking for perfect set up this early. We want the key players on the field - or Ducks on the pond.. or whatever.. a perfect set up will likely disappoint if modeled this early.