midatlanticweather

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Doesn't this kind of make more sense though for typical "climo" on these kinds of very weak non amplifying WAA waves?  I don't remember too many like this that produced a foot of snow around here like the Euro was tossing out for days.  Maybe I am forgetting some...but these are more typically light to moderate events.  

I am no met, but I was mentioning yesterday that these waves, from what I remember, are 3 to 5 inch snows.. the difference here is there were two waves instead of one which was doing better! Jut my 2 cents... This wave still looks like an overperformer for those perfectly set up. Again, not a met.. just going from memory

Congrats @Ji east of the mountains! Lol. 

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

Nice hit from 51-54 NOVA/DC. Virtually nothing south of that so far though. 

Seems everything shifted north. Mix line is on the dooratep here in Loudoun 

37 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

First wave is interesting it's an almost indiscernible impulse ejecting out of the desert sw and zipping along with the jet across the country waaay out in front of the digging shortwave. Normally things like that don't even cause precip here but the lucky connection with the gulf and bouncing up againt cold air makes it an event anyway. Sometimes it just wants to snow. 

Most favorite quote from you in the 2013 - 2014 epic year was that if the atmosphere farted, we got snow! I still laugh at that!! Some similarities, in a way, to what we are seeing in this stretch.

HH GFS Ensembles? Anyone got maps? Yep.. I am in a meeting! LOL! Where is the Bingo card on this event?

If my memory serves me (and it may not) waves like this are usually 3 to 5 inch events (higher in the higher spots).. So we get two, which would net 6 to 10 inches (maybe?).. I would think. A long while ago in the early 90s (yep..) I remember tracking one of something like this and it was a 3 to 6 inch event .. I was an intern at the Climate Analysis Center at the time... but it quickly moved through. So two, seems like a double of the same thing. On to the model analysis! 

23 minutes ago, Ji said:

94 was a huge fail. Topper Shutt literally said on the 11pm news that they sent weather balloons up and it was going to be snow. 12 inches. 5 minutes later...i hear sleet pellets and thats all it did for that storm. 5 inches of sleet while Newwark, NJ got 20 plus. 

Remember it very well! Sleet bomb it was! Looked like sand when the salt and sand was on the sleet. Nasty stuff.

For one last look. Pivotal

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Blot out the sun, throw in some snow and it sounds like heaven

Let's hope for just snow!

Snow is melting so fast. We have had OK rates off and on. Measured a while back and had 2 inches. Measured again and can see it has compacted and melted. Stuck a 2 inches. Snowed a lot more than 2 inches by now. 

Snow balls again! So pretty. 

Snow slowed and flakes got smaller but I measured a solid 2 inches so far

Snow covering everything. Nice big flakes. Super wet snow. 

34/26 in Purcellville 

Watching Reed trimmer in SC with heavy snow! Crazy. 

40/25 in Purcellville

2 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Was discussing in SE forum we need a name for the Icon when we are about to get lit up. Equivalency of Nam with Nam’d or Nam’ing. Someone had voted for EYE Con’d. Icon IMO has killed it thus far. 

Iconic... Been used a lot already. 

Just now, yoda said:

18z ICON pretty much crushes the region nicely

HUGGGGGGG

Eeeeh! Three Globals advertising ice event! I am sure we will see some changes! Not looking good though

21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

@WxUSAF that Feb 2 thing didn’t get much attention because it wasn’t even on the radar until like 36 hours out. It was a weak wave buried between the two big storms that guidance didn’t see. Then even when it popped up it was a 3-6” snow 2 days before 2-3 feet was showing on guidance so it was an afterthought to everyone. No tracking and by the time it was snowing we were already under a watch for a HECS. 

I was just discussing this with a buddy of mine since we are in the same week! 

ICON - Miss to the south now.

So we went from Arctic Blast to Bust.. As I mentioned earlier.. and would the Ridge mean a warming trend? Sheesh! 

Just now, JakkelWx said:

This is not an arctic "bust". You're looking at forecasts that are based off the GFS which probably doesn't have a clue. Both the GEFS and EPS support an extended period of much colder than normal temperatures. Relax.

LOL! I know it will be cold, I just had an idea it would be a bit colder!

I think the Euro Ensembles are back for Sunday? Anyone care to confirm?