midatlanticweather

58 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

Take a look around the models, we're on the threshold of hell. Threading needles. I do like where we are at this point.

I am out here in Western Loudoun. It is not looking great. I am betting on fail.

26 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Save the jinx for me, Clark!

let’s reel this 2” snowstorm in! Let me say the grace and get this thread started on positive vibes:

I pledge allegiance to the flag…..

This year has been all about begging for table scraps and nosing around in the trash for even a small amount! I am hoping for crazy ratios and overperformance! I am worried I will just be choking on a bone on Sunday! LOL 

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

the angle of the trough also kinda sucks. it barely gets its shit together in time so we get a neutral tilt but if we want it negative then we'd need it to slow down and dive SW

I think we are out of luck on that. Agreed the trough just is not favorable for much amplification sooner. 30:1 ratios could help. Lol 

I would like it to get it's act together a lot quicker.. I would take anything though. We have wasted way too much cold. 

12.4 for the low. Currently 19. 

2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Lol

 

 

I feel every La Nina we look at maps like this and they suck!

8 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

I know of a certain storm in march 24 years ago with even worse luck...

This is our Voldemort 

Light snow here in purcellville

I say we stop Kuchera maps! That is all

Any chance for high ratios?

LOL! Get every bit out of it we can squeeze! 

Sleet and a little snow here in Purcellville. 

2 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro looks to be getting ready for next weekend too.

I do not know with the way the Highs are sitting. Looks like maybe a little ice could be possible, but that is a poor look

Wow! Euro would make us happy! 

Time for the Euro to switch places and reel us back in! LOL! 

When I Debbie downed about being in the southern end of the snow.. And I know it was not the edge, what we see on the Gfs is what I expected to see.. And I am not saying it won't shift around and I think the GFS is way too excited about precip and strength which are working against us.. But it was a logical shift. Could reverse in the morning.. I dunno.. Just seemed like the natural progression that the cold would move out. Timing, location, luck. Always needed. Will see what twh GEFS say. 

When you are on the southern edge of a big snow, the reality usually is not the best... I am just saying. 

Got down to 30. It was super frosty morning!

46 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

It’s still mostly a cover all bases operation 

100% chance of weather!

2 hours ago, winter_warlock said:

 06z GFS still has the  Nov 18-20 event. Doesn't look like anything big but Something interesting to watch

 

 

Moisture is evaporating on runs and placement does seem to be further south. 

Can confirm small flakes here in Purcellville!

6 minutes ago, bncho said:

what website is that?

That is Radar Scope... an app! A nice one too! 

Is any of this reaching the ground? While out a bit ago I was saying it smelled like snow! 

This chart is wild! 

Coldest of the season! 26.4 degrees for the low in Purcellville